US special forces executed a rapid raid into Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife amid heightened tensions from disputed elections, sanctions, and regional instability, but withdrew shortly thereafter without a prolonged troop presence, averting deeper entanglement. Congressional war powers resolutions to force withdrawal were narrowly defeated in January, while the Trump administration signaled readiness for further action if interim leader Delcy Rodríguez falters amid Maduro loyalist insurgencies and economic turmoil. Recent international developments, including IMF and World Bank re-engagement in April, support stabilization without military re-entry. No verified US ground operations have occurred since, though traders monitor potential escalations from armed militias, oil disputes, or diplomatic breakdowns ahead of any transition timeline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$1,298,246 KL.
Jan 31, 2026
Ngày 30 tháng 6
6%
$1,298,246 KL.
Ngày 30 tháng 6
$213,483 KL.
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special forces executed a rapid raid into Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife amid heightened tensions from disputed elections, sanctions, and regional instability, but withdrew shortly thereafter without a prolonged troop presence, averting deeper entanglement. Congressional war powers resolutions to force withdrawal were narrowly defeated in January, while the Trump administration signaled readiness for further action if interim leader Delcy Rodríguez falters amid Maduro loyalist insurgencies and economic turmoil. Recent international developments, including IMF and World Bank re-engagement in April, support stabilization without military re-entry. No verified US ground operations have occurred since, though traders monitor potential escalations from armed militias, oil disputes, or diplomatic breakdowns ahead of any transition timeline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,298,246Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special forces executed a rapid raid into Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife amid heightened tensions from disputed elections, sanctions, and regional instability, but withdrew shortly thereafter without a prolonged troop presence, averting deeper entanglement. Congressional war powers resolutions to force withdrawal were narrowly defeated in January, while the Trump administration signaled readiness for further action if interim leader Delcy Rodríguez falters amid Maduro loyalist insurgencies and economic turmoil. Recent international developments, including IMF and World Bank re-engagement in April, support stabilization without military re-entry. No verified US ground operations have occurred since, though traders monitor potential escalations from armed militias, oil disputes, or diplomatic breakdowns ahead of any transition timeline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$1,298,246Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US special forces executed a rapid raid into Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife amid heightened tensions from disputed elections, sanctions, and regional instability, but withdrew shortly thereafter without a prolonged troop presence, averting deeper entanglement. Congressional war powers resolutions to force withdrawal were narrowly defeated in January, while the Trump administration signaled readiness for further action if interim leader Delcy Rodríguez falters amid Maduro loyalist insurgencies and economic turmoil. Recent international developments, including IMF and World Bank re-engagement in April, support stabilization without military re-entry. No verified US ground operations have occurred since, though traders monitor potential escalations from armed militias, oil disputes, or diplomatic breakdowns ahead of any transition timeline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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