JD Vance serves as the sitting vice president in the second Trump administration, with market prices reflecting broad trader consensus on continuity in that role. No official announcements, Senate actions, or public disputes have signaled removal, resignation, or replacement through mid-2026. Low implied probabilities for an exit by year-end align with the absence of major catalysts such as confirmation hearings, cabinet reshuffles, or reported policy rifts. The November 2026 midterm elections and any associated White House adjustments represent the nearest scheduled political events that could influence positioning, though historical patterns show vice presidents typically remain in place absent acute controversies or health developments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtJD Vance out as VP by...?
JD Vance out as VP by...?
$237,615 KL.
Jul 31, 2026
July 31
<1%
December 31
6%
$237,615 KL.
July 31
$4,363 KL.
<1%
December 31
$146,307 KL.
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.JD Vance serves as the sitting vice president in the second Trump administration, with market prices reflecting broad trader consensus on continuity in that role. No official announcements, Senate actions, or public disputes have signaled removal, resignation, or replacement through mid-2026. Low implied probabilities for an exit by year-end align with the absence of major catalysts such as confirmation hearings, cabinet reshuffles, or reported policy rifts. The November 2026 midterm elections and any associated White House adjustments represent the nearest scheduled political events that could influence positioning, though historical patterns show vice presidents typically remain in place absent acute controversies or health developments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jun 26, 2026, 11:51 AM ET
Khối lượng
$237,615Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 26, 2026, 11:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.JD Vance serves as the sitting vice president in the second Trump administration, with market prices reflecting broad trader consensus on continuity in that role. No official announcements, Senate actions, or public disputes have signaled removal, resignation, or replacement through mid-2026. Low implied probabilities for an exit by year-end align with the absence of major catalysts such as confirmation hearings, cabinet reshuffles, or reported policy rifts. The November 2026 midterm elections and any associated White House adjustments represent the nearest scheduled political events that could influence positioning, though historical patterns show vice presidents typically remain in place absent acute controversies or health developments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$237,615Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 26, 2026, 11:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...JD Vance serves as the sitting vice president in the second Trump administration, with market prices reflecting broad trader consensus on continuity in that role. No official announcements, Senate actions, or public disputes have signaled removal, resignation, or replacement through mid-2026. Low implied probabilities for an exit by year-end align with the absence of major catalysts such as confirmation hearings, cabinet reshuffles, or reported policy rifts. The November 2026 midterm elections and any associated White House adjustments represent the nearest scheduled political events that could influence positioning, though historical patterns show vice presidents typically remain in place absent acute controversies or health developments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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