Goldman Sachs holds an 86% implied probability as lead underwriter for OpenAI’s IPO, reflecting trader consensus around its recent lead-left role on the SpaceX offering and longstanding dominance in major technology listings. OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 positioned both Goldman and Morgan Stanley as primary bookrunners, yet Goldman’s edge stems from superior allocation influence and execution track record in artificial-intelligence and high-growth deals. Morgan Stanley’s 12.5% share captures its parallel involvement in OpenAI and Anthropic preparations, while lower-probability banks remain in supporting capacities only. Potential 2027 timing, driven by valuation targets near $1 trillion and internal priorities, keeps the lead-left designation fluid amid ongoing competitive positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Goldman Sachs 86%
Morgan Stanley 13%
Bank of America 1.0%
JPMorgan <1%
$51,094 KL.
$51,094 KL.
Dec 30, 2027
Goldman Sachs
86%
Morgan Stanley
13%
Bank of America
1%
JPMorgan
<1%
Citigroup
<1%
Barclays
<1%
UBS
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
Goldman Sachs 86%
Morgan Stanley 13%
Bank of America 1.0%
JPMorgan <1%
$51,094 KL.
$51,094 KL.
Dec 30, 2027
Goldman Sachs
$13,972 KL.
86%
Morgan Stanley
$8,600 KL.
13%
Bank of America
$2,483 KL.
1%
JPMorgan
$3,929 KL.
<1%
Citigroup
$2,649 KL.
<1%
Barclays
$3,599 KL.
<1%
UBS
$3,544 KL.
<1%
Deutsche Bank
$9,084 KL.
<1%
Wells Fargo
$3,234 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds an 86% implied probability as lead underwriter for OpenAI’s IPO, reflecting trader consensus around its recent lead-left role on the SpaceX offering and longstanding dominance in major technology listings. OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 positioned both Goldman and Morgan Stanley as primary bookrunners, yet Goldman’s edge stems from superior allocation influence and execution track record in artificial-intelligence and high-growth deals. Morgan Stanley’s 12.5% share captures its parallel involvement in OpenAI and Anthropic preparations, while lower-probability banks remain in supporting capacities only. Potential 2027 timing, driven by valuation targets near $1 trillion and internal priorities, keeps the lead-left designation fluid amid ongoing competitive positioning.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
Khối lượng
$51,094Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds an 86% implied probability as lead underwriter for OpenAI’s IPO, reflecting trader consensus around its recent lead-left role on the SpaceX offering and longstanding dominance in major technology listings. OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 positioned both Goldman and Morgan Stanley as primary bookrunners, yet Goldman’s edge stems from superior allocation influence and execution track record in artificial-intelligence and high-growth deals. Morgan Stanley’s 12.5% share captures its parallel involvement in OpenAI and Anthropic preparations, while lower-probability banks remain in supporting capacities only. Potential 2027 timing, driven by valuation targets near $1 trillion and internal priorities, keeps the lead-left designation fluid amid ongoing competitive positioning.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$51,094Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Goldman Sachs holds an 86% implied probability as lead underwriter for OpenAI’s IPO, reflecting trader consensus around its recent lead-left role on the SpaceX offering and longstanding dominance in major technology listings. OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 positioned both Goldman and Morgan Stanley as primary bookrunners, yet Goldman’s edge stems from superior allocation influence and execution track record in artificial-intelligence and high-growth deals. Morgan Stanley’s 12.5% share captures its parallel involvement in OpenAI and Anthropic preparations, while lower-probability banks remain in supporting capacities only. Potential 2027 timing, driven by valuation targets near $1 trillion and internal priorities, keeps the lead-left designation fluid amid ongoing competitive positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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