Goldman Sachs holds the strongest implied probability as lead underwriter for OpenAI’s IPO because it has served as a primary bookrunner since the company’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, reinforced by its recent lead-left role on the SpaceX offering and track record in major technology listings. Morgan Stanley remains the clearest alternative, sharing prominent bookrunner duties on both OpenAI and rival Anthropic preparations, though it trails in allocation influence. Lower-probability banks such as JPMorgan and others appear limited to supporting roles. Recent considerations of a 2027 timeline amid market volatility and $1 trillion valuation targets have not altered the core banker hierarchy, with official disclosures or prospectus details expected to resolve the lead-left designation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Goldman Sachs 87%
Morgan Stanley 12%
Bank of America 1.0%
JPMorgan <1%
$50,939 KL.
$50,939 KL.

Goldman Sachs
87%

Morgan Stanley
12%

Bank of America
1%

JPMorgan
<1%

Citigroup
<1%

Barclays
<1%

UBS
<1%

Deutsche Bank
<1%

Wells Fargo
<1%
Goldman Sachs 87%
Morgan Stanley 12%
Bank of America 1.0%
JPMorgan <1%
$50,939 KL.
$50,939 KL.

Goldman Sachs
87%

Morgan Stanley
12%

Bank of America
1%

JPMorgan
<1%

Citigroup
<1%

Barclays
<1%

UBS
<1%

Deutsche Bank
<1%

Wells Fargo
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Goldman Sachs holds the strongest implied probability as lead underwriter for OpenAI’s IPO because it has served as a primary bookrunner since the company’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, reinforced by its recent lead-left role on the SpaceX offering and track record in major technology listings. Morgan Stanley remains the clearest alternative, sharing prominent bookrunner duties on both OpenAI and rival Anthropic preparations, though it trails in allocation influence. Lower-probability banks such as JPMorgan and others appear limited to supporting roles. Recent considerations of a 2027 timeline amid market volatility and $1 trillion valuation targets have not altered the core banker hierarchy, with official disclosures or prospectus details expected to resolve the lead-left designation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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