Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate Austin’s overnight low on August 28 will settle in the mid- to upper 70s under mostly clear skies, light southeast-to-southwest winds around 5 mph, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Recent observations show lows holding near 78°F amid a persistent warm air mass with heat indices exceeding 100°F by day. These conditions align with the market-implied concentration around 74–77°F while keeping sub-70°F readings unlikely absent an unexpected frontal passage or increased cloud cover. Historical August averages near 72°F provide context, yet the current pattern favors the warmer end of the seasonal range. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Austin on August 28?
76-77°F 78%
69°F or below 41%
74-75°F 16%
72-73°F 8%
69°F or below
41%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
78%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 78%
69°F or below 41%
74-75°F 16%
72-73°F 8%
69°F or below
41%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
78%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate Austin’s overnight low on August 28 will settle in the mid- to upper 70s under mostly clear skies, light southeast-to-southwest winds around 5 mph, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Recent observations show lows holding near 78°F amid a persistent warm air mass with heat indices exceeding 100°F by day. These conditions align with the market-implied concentration around 74–77°F while keeping sub-70°F readings unlikely absent an unexpected frontal passage or increased cloud cover. Historical August averages near 72°F provide context, yet the current pattern favors the warmer end of the seasonal range. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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