Recent atmospheric patterns over the Río de la Plata region, including a building high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and efficient nocturnal radiative cooling, have driven trader consensus toward a 7°C low for Buenos Aires on August 28. Regional forecast models show overnight temperatures bottoming near 9–11°C under light southerly flow and dew points around 7–9°C, consistent with late-winter climatology where clear, calm conditions often produce the month’s coldest readings. Current observations from early morning already approach 9–10°C, with limited cloud cover and minimal wind expected to allow further drops before sunrise. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus while acknowledging modest uncertainty from any late-model adjustments or urban heat-island effects at official stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 28?
5°C 40%
6°C 40%
4°C or below 3%
8°C <1%
4°C or below
3%
5°C
40%
6°C
40%
7°C
43%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C or higher
<1%
5°C 40%
6°C 40%
4°C or below 3%
8°C <1%
4°C or below
3%
5°C
40%
6°C
40%
7°C
43%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent atmospheric patterns over the Río de la Plata region, including a building high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and efficient nocturnal radiative cooling, have driven trader consensus toward a 7°C low for Buenos Aires on August 28. Regional forecast models show overnight temperatures bottoming near 9–11°C under light southerly flow and dew points around 7–9°C, consistent with late-winter climatology where clear, calm conditions often produce the month’s coldest readings. Current observations from early morning already approach 9–10°C, with limited cloud cover and minimal wind expected to allow further drops before sunrise. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus while acknowledging modest uncertainty from any late-model adjustments or urban heat-island effects at official stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp