**Forecast consensus for Buenos Aires on September 15, 2026, centers on a minimum of 6–8°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light-to-moderate winds shifting from northwest to southeast.** Multiple models, including those referenced by PredictWind (low 6°C), Met Office (8°C), and WeatherBug (≈7°C), indicate radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs near 18–19°C, with dew points in the 4–6°C range supporting these values. Earlier September cold-air intrusions produced isolated readings near 3°C, but recent stabilization and increasing easterly flow have moderated the risk of sub-5°C outcomes. Trader emphasis on the 8°C bucket (39.5% implied) reflects the tight clustering of official station guidance around that level, while residual probability for 4°C or below (25.5%) accounts for model spread and potential for stronger nocturnal cooling if winds remain light. Updated Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations and evening model runs will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 15?
4°C or below 51%
7°C 21%
5°C 6%
9°C <1%
$966 KL.
$966 KL.
4°C or below
51%
5°C
6%
6°C
44%
7°C
21%
8°C
57%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C or higher
<1%
4°C or below 51%
7°C 21%
5°C 6%
9°C <1%
$966 KL.
$966 KL.
4°C or below
51%
5°C
6%
6°C
44%
7°C
21%
8°C
57%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus for Buenos Aires on September 15, 2026, centers on a minimum of 6–8°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light-to-moderate winds shifting from northwest to southeast.** Multiple models, including those referenced by PredictWind (low 6°C), Met Office (8°C), and WeatherBug (≈7°C), indicate radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs near 18–19°C, with dew points in the 4–6°C range supporting these values. Earlier September cold-air intrusions produced isolated readings near 3°C, but recent stabilization and increasing easterly flow have moderated the risk of sub-5°C outcomes. Trader emphasis on the 8°C bucket (39.5% implied) reflects the tight clustering of official station guidance around that level, while residual probability for 4°C or below (25.5%) accounts for model spread and potential for stronger nocturnal cooling if winds remain light. Updated Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations and evening model runs will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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