Recent forecast models for Chengdu indicate expected daily minimum temperatures around 17–19°C on September 14, consistent with historical mid-September averages of 18–20°C, yet market odds remain nearly even between 13°C or below and 23°C or higher due to uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling. Key variables include variable cloud cover and light rain from lingering monsoon influences, which can suppress temperature drops, versus clearer conditions that enhance cooling in the Sichuan Basin's topography. Regional air mass shifts and wind patterns may also tip outcomes, with official updates from monitoring agencies likely to refine guidance ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 14?
13°C or below 100%
23°C or higher 98%
18°C 40%
19°C 40%
13°C or below
100%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
40%
19°C
40%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C or higher
98%
13°C or below 100%
23°C or higher 98%
18°C 40%
19°C 40%
13°C or below
100%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
40%
19°C
40%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models for Chengdu indicate expected daily minimum temperatures around 17–19°C on September 14, consistent with historical mid-September averages of 18–20°C, yet market odds remain nearly even between 13°C or below and 23°C or higher due to uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling. Key variables include variable cloud cover and light rain from lingering monsoon influences, which can suppress temperature drops, versus clearer conditions that enhance cooling in the Sichuan Basin's topography. Regional air mass shifts and wind patterns may also tip outcomes, with official updates from monitoring agencies likely to refine guidance ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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