Persistent heat across North Texas, with southerly flow and clear skies under high pressure, keeps overnight lows elevated into August 23. Official forecasts from NWS and private models converge on a minimum near 84°F, supported by daytime highs exceeding 106°F that limit radiational cooling despite moderate humidity around 35-50%. Historical August lows average 76-77°F, but the current pattern shows minimal diurnal drop. Traders appear split between the elevated baseline (favoring 84-89°F bins) and tail risks of either stronger mixing pushing lows toward 90°F+ or an unforecasted boundary dropping readings into the upper 70s. Model consensus holds steady with limited spread through the overnight period.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Dallas on August 23?
98°F or higher 80%
79°F or below 45%
84-85°F 28%
86-87°F 28%
79°F or below
45%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
28%
86-87°F
28%
88-89°F
24%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
16%
94-95°F
12%
96-97°F
5%
98°F or higher
80%
98°F or higher 80%
79°F or below 45%
84-85°F 28%
86-87°F 28%
79°F or below
45%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
28%
86-87°F
28%
88-89°F
24%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
16%
94-95°F
12%
96-97°F
5%
98°F or higher
80%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heat across North Texas, with southerly flow and clear skies under high pressure, keeps overnight lows elevated into August 23. Official forecasts from NWS and private models converge on a minimum near 84°F, supported by daytime highs exceeding 106°F that limit radiational cooling despite moderate humidity around 35-50%. Historical August lows average 76-77°F, but the current pattern shows minimal diurnal drop. Traders appear split between the elevated baseline (favoring 84-89°F bins) and tail risks of either stronger mixing pushing lows toward 90°F+ or an unforecasted boundary dropping readings into the upper 70s. Model consensus holds steady with limited spread through the overnight period.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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