Uncertainty in short-term forecast models for overnight radiative cooling drives the tight clustering around 74–75°F, 80–81°F, and 82–83°F for Houston’s August 28 low. Subtropical humidity and typical late-summer moisture limit surface cooling, while variable cloud cover and light winds determine how much heat escapes after sunset. Clearer skies could push readings toward the lower 70s, whereas persistent low-level moisture or a weak sea-breeze circulation favors the upper 70s to low 80s. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer stability and dewpoint forecasts, keeping trader probabilities balanced across these ranges rather than converging on a single outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Houston on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Houston on August 28?
70-71°F 49%
80-81°F 39%
82-83°F 39%
78-79°F 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 28, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
49%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
39%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 49%
80-81°F 39%
82-83°F 39%
78-79°F 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 28, 2026
67°F or below
$162 KL.
<1%
68-69°F
$62 KL.
<1%
70-71°F
$98 KL.
49%
72-73°F
$37 KL.
3%
74-75°F
$19 KL.
39%
76-77°F
$20 KL.
4%
78-79°F
$0 KL.
6%
80-81°F
$0 KL.
39%
82-83°F
$0 KL.
39%
84-85°F
$69 KL.
<1%
86°F or higher
$93 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Uncertainty in short-term forecast models for overnight radiative cooling drives the tight clustering around 74–75°F, 80–81°F, and 82–83°F for Houston’s August 28 low. Subtropical humidity and typical late-summer moisture limit surface cooling, while variable cloud cover and light winds determine how much heat escapes after sunset. Clearer skies could push readings toward the lower 70s, whereas persistent low-level moisture or a weak sea-breeze circulation favors the upper 70s to low 80s. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer stability and dewpoint forecasts, keeping trader probabilities balanced across these ranges rather than converging on a single outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$560Ngày kết thúc
Aug 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Uncertainty in short-term forecast models for overnight radiative cooling drives the tight clustering around 74–75°F, 80–81°F, and 82–83°F for Houston’s August 28 low. Subtropical humidity and typical late-summer moisture limit surface cooling, while variable cloud cover and light winds determine how much heat escapes after sunset. Clearer skies could push readings toward the lower 70s, whereas persistent low-level moisture or a weak sea-breeze circulation favors the upper 70s to low 80s. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer stability and dewpoint forecasts, keeping trader probabilities balanced across these ranges rather than converging on a single outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$560Ngày kết thúc
Aug 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Uncertainty in short-term forecast models for overnight radiative cooling drives the tight clustering around 74–75°F, 80–81°F, and 82–83°F for Houston’s August 28 low. Subtropical humidity and typical late-summer moisture limit surface cooling, while variable cloud cover and light winds determine how much heat escapes after sunset. Clearer skies could push readings toward the lower 70s, whereas persistent low-level moisture or a weak sea-breeze circulation favors the upper 70s to low 80s. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer stability and dewpoint forecasts, keeping trader probabilities balanced across these ranges rather than converging on a single outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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