Traders see the 25°C or below outcome leading at 47.5% implied probability primarily because short-range forecast models indicate possible enhanced marine-layer cooling and increased cloud cover over the Red Sea coast on August 26, which could suppress overnight radiative heating in Jeddah’s typically humid environment. With typical August minimums near 29–31°C based on historical climatology and recent NCM guidance showing persistent heat but variable wind patterns, the elevated weighting on cooler bins reflects model consensus around potential sea-breeze strengthening or transient upper-level trough influence that lowers the daily low. Upcoming updated runs from global ensembles and official Saudi meteorological briefings within the next 48 hours will likely drive any shifts, as resolution hinges on the precise observed minimum recorded by local stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Jeddah on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Jeddah on August 26?
25°C or below 83%
31°C 50%
32°C 49%
30°C 48%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 26, 2026
25°C or below
83%
26°C
46%
27°C
46%
28°C
46%
29°C
46%
30°C
48%
31°C
50%
32°C
36%
33°C
46%
34°C
46%
35°C or higher
1%
25°C or below 83%
31°C 50%
32°C 49%
30°C 48%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 26, 2026
25°C or below
$0 KL.
83%
26°C
$0 KL.
46%
27°C
$0 KL.
46%
28°C
$0 KL.
46%
29°C
$0 KL.
46%
30°C
$0 KL.
48%
31°C
$0 KL.
50%
32°C
$49 KL.
36%
33°C
$0 KL.
46%
34°C
$0 KL.
46%
35°C or higher
$6 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 25°C or below outcome leading at 47.5% implied probability primarily because short-range forecast models indicate possible enhanced marine-layer cooling and increased cloud cover over the Red Sea coast on August 26, which could suppress overnight radiative heating in Jeddah’s typically humid environment. With typical August minimums near 29–31°C based on historical climatology and recent NCM guidance showing persistent heat but variable wind patterns, the elevated weighting on cooler bins reflects model consensus around potential sea-breeze strengthening or transient upper-level trough influence that lowers the daily low. Upcoming updated runs from global ensembles and official Saudi meteorological briefings within the next 48 hours will likely drive any shifts, as resolution hinges on the precise observed minimum recorded by local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$55Ngày kết thúc
Aug 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 25°C or below outcome leading at 47.5% implied probability primarily because short-range forecast models indicate possible enhanced marine-layer cooling and increased cloud cover over the Red Sea coast on August 26, which could suppress overnight radiative heating in Jeddah’s typically humid environment. With typical August minimums near 29–31°C based on historical climatology and recent NCM guidance showing persistent heat but variable wind patterns, the elevated weighting on cooler bins reflects model consensus around potential sea-breeze strengthening or transient upper-level trough influence that lowers the daily low. Upcoming updated runs from global ensembles and official Saudi meteorological briefings within the next 48 hours will likely drive any shifts, as resolution hinges on the precise observed minimum recorded by local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$55Ngày kết thúc
Aug 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 25°C or below outcome leading at 47.5% implied probability primarily because short-range forecast models indicate possible enhanced marine-layer cooling and increased cloud cover over the Red Sea coast on August 26, which could suppress overnight radiative heating in Jeddah’s typically humid environment. With typical August minimums near 29–31°C based on historical climatology and recent NCM guidance showing persistent heat but variable wind patterns, the elevated weighting on cooler bins reflects model consensus around potential sea-breeze strengthening or transient upper-level trough influence that lowers the daily low. Upcoming updated runs from global ensembles and official Saudi meteorological briefings within the next 48 hours will likely drive any shifts, as resolution hinges on the precise observed minimum recorded by local stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp