Current forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate overnight lows in Jeddah near 28–30°C on September 22, consistent with late-summer climatology under stable high pressure and Red Sea moisture that limits radiative cooling. The closely matched market odds around 30–31°C reflect this consensus, while the 45% implied probabilities on 25°C or below versus 35°C or higher highlight model sensitivity to minor shifts in wind direction, dew points near 25–26°C, or brief cloud cover that could alter the daily minimum by 1–3°C. Historical September baselines show typical lows of 28–30°C with low variability absent major synoptic changes, and no significant updates have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Jeddah on September 22?
35°C or higher 97%
25°C or below 96%
31°C 50%
30°C 40%
25°C or below
96%
26°C
39%
27°C
38%
28°C
38%
29°C
37%
30°C
40%
31°C
28%
32°C
38%
33°C
40%
34°C
38%
35°C or higher
97%
35°C or higher 97%
25°C or below 96%
31°C 50%
30°C 40%
25°C or below
96%
26°C
39%
27°C
38%
28°C
38%
29°C
37%
30°C
40%
31°C
28%
32°C
38%
33°C
40%
34°C
38%
35°C or higher
97%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate overnight lows in Jeddah near 28–30°C on September 22, consistent with late-summer climatology under stable high pressure and Red Sea moisture that limits radiative cooling. The closely matched market odds around 30–31°C reflect this consensus, while the 45% implied probabilities on 25°C or below versus 35°C or higher highlight model sensitivity to minor shifts in wind direction, dew points near 25–26°C, or brief cloud cover that could alter the daily minimum by 1–3°C. Historical September baselines show typical lows of 28–30°C with low variability absent major synoptic changes, and no significant updates have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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