Forecast models from sources including the Met Office, PredictWind, and regional analyses indicate a most likely peak temperature of 36–37°C for Jeddah on September 21, consistent with the market's closely matched probabilities for those outcomes. Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover support strong daytime solar heating over the Red Sea coastal plain, while light westerly to southwesterly winds and typical September humidity levels (50–70%) moderate extremes through sea-breeze effects. Recent observations show daily maxima near 36–38°C with negligible precipitation risk, and no significant synoptic changes are expected before resolution. Model consensus on peak timing and steering patterns will determine whether readings reach the 38°C threshold or remain capped at 36°C at official stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Jeddah on September 21?
37°C 37%
36°C 29%
38°C 21%
35°C 5%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C
5%
36°C
29%
37°C
37%
38°C
21%
39°C
5%
40°C or higher
2%
37°C 37%
36°C 29%
38°C 21%
35°C 5%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C
5%
36°C
29%
37°C
37%
38°C
21%
39°C
5%
40°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office, PredictWind, and regional analyses indicate a most likely peak temperature of 36–37°C for Jeddah on September 21, consistent with the market's closely matched probabilities for those outcomes. Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover support strong daytime solar heating over the Red Sea coastal plain, while light westerly to southwesterly winds and typical September humidity levels (50–70%) moderate extremes through sea-breeze effects. Recent observations show daily maxima near 36–38°C with negligible precipitation risk, and no significant synoptic changes are expected before resolution. Model consensus on peak timing and steering patterns will determine whether readings reach the 38°C threshold or remain capped at 36°C at official stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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