Recent global weather model consensus, including ECMWF and GFS runs, points to minimum temperatures near 29–30°C in Jeddah on September 21, supporting the market's leading 30°C outcome at 45% implied probability. Jeddah's Red Sea coastal location moderates extremes through persistent sea breezes and high humidity that limits nighttime radiative cooling, while clear skies and light northerly winds under regional high pressure favor typical late-summer lows. The notable 35.5% probability on 25°C or below reflects model spread and potential for slightly stronger onshore flow or minor cloud increases to enhance cooling. Historical September minima average near 28–30°C, with traders weighing these dynamics against the narrow resolution thresholds ahead of final observational data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Jeddah on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Jeddah on September 21?
25°C or below 79%
30°C 56%
29°C 40%
31°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 21, 2026
25°C or below
79%
26°C
38%
27°C
38%
28°C
38%
29°C
40%
30°C
45%
31°C
21%
32°C
16%
33°C
16%
34°C
15%
35°C or higher
1%
25°C or below 79%
30°C 56%
29°C 40%
31°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 21, 2026
25°C or below
$0 KL.
79%
26°C
$0 KL.
38%
27°C
$0 KL.
38%
28°C
$0 KL.
38%
29°C
$0 KL.
40%
30°C
$128 KL.
45%
31°C
$25 KL.
21%
32°C
$0 KL.
16%
33°C
$0 KL.
16%
34°C
$0 KL.
15%
35°C or higher
$120 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent global weather model consensus, including ECMWF and GFS runs, points to minimum temperatures near 29–30°C in Jeddah on September 21, supporting the market's leading 30°C outcome at 45% implied probability. Jeddah's Red Sea coastal location moderates extremes through persistent sea breezes and high humidity that limits nighttime radiative cooling, while clear skies and light northerly winds under regional high pressure favor typical late-summer lows. The notable 35.5% probability on 25°C or below reflects model spread and potential for slightly stronger onshore flow or minor cloud increases to enhance cooling. Historical September minima average near 28–30°C, with traders weighing these dynamics against the narrow resolution thresholds ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$273Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent global weather model consensus, including ECMWF and GFS runs, points to minimum temperatures near 29–30°C in Jeddah on September 21, supporting the market's leading 30°C outcome at 45% implied probability. Jeddah's Red Sea coastal location moderates extremes through persistent sea breezes and high humidity that limits nighttime radiative cooling, while clear skies and light northerly winds under regional high pressure favor typical late-summer lows. The notable 35.5% probability on 25°C or below reflects model spread and potential for slightly stronger onshore flow or minor cloud increases to enhance cooling. Historical September minima average near 28–30°C, with traders weighing these dynamics against the narrow resolution thresholds ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$273Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent global weather model consensus, including ECMWF and GFS runs, points to minimum temperatures near 29–30°C in Jeddah on September 21, supporting the market's leading 30°C outcome at 45% implied probability. Jeddah's Red Sea coastal location moderates extremes through persistent sea breezes and high humidity that limits nighttime radiative cooling, while clear skies and light northerly winds under regional high pressure favor typical late-summer lows. The notable 35.5% probability on 25°C or below reflects model spread and potential for slightly stronger onshore flow or minor cloud increases to enhance cooling. Historical September minima average near 28–30°C, with traders weighing these dynamics against the narrow resolution thresholds ahead of final observational data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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