**Current forecasts from multiple models, including WeatherBug, WindBorne, and Chinese meteorological sources, point to a minimum temperature in Jinan on September 5 near 17–20°C.** Clear to mostly clear skies overnight, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity support steady radiative cooling after daytime highs of 30–32°C. These conditions align with typical early-September climatology, where average lows hover around 18–19°C. The near-even market weighting between sub-12°C and 22°C+ outcomes highlights trader recognition of residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, potential local variations across the urban heat island, and the narrow window for any last-minute model adjustments before resolution, while central probabilities cluster around the 15–21°C range consistent with ensemble consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Jinan on September 5?
12°C or below 100%
22°C or higher 86%
13°C 49%
14°C 49%
12°C or below
100%
13°C
49%
14°C
49%
15°C
27%
16°C
30%
17°C
27%
18°C
49%
19°C
49%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C or higher
86%
12°C or below 100%
22°C or higher 86%
13°C 49%
14°C 49%
12°C or below
100%
13°C
49%
14°C
49%
15°C
27%
16°C
30%
17°C
27%
18°C
49%
19°C
49%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C or higher
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple models, including WeatherBug, WindBorne, and Chinese meteorological sources, point to a minimum temperature in Jinan on September 5 near 17–20°C.** Clear to mostly clear skies overnight, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity support steady radiative cooling after daytime highs of 30–32°C. These conditions align with typical early-September climatology, where average lows hover around 18–19°C. The near-even market weighting between sub-12°C and 22°C+ outcomes highlights trader recognition of residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, potential local variations across the urban heat island, and the narrow window for any last-minute model adjustments before resolution, while central probabilities cluster around the 15–21°C range consistent with ensemble consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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