Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 13°C overnight into September 16, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light to moderate westerly winds, and dew points supporting radiative cooling without significant cloud cover or precipitation. Multiple models, including GFS runs, converge on this range with limited spread, reflecting stable high pressure and typical early-autumn conditions that moderate overnight lows compared to deeper radiational cooling scenarios. Trader consensus at 60.5% for 13°C reflects this model agreement and proximity to resolution, while 12°C and 14°C options capture residual uncertainty in exact timing of any wind shifts or localized variations. Updated guidance through the evening of September 15 will likely anchor final positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on September 16?
Lowest temperature in London on September 16?
13°C 61%
12°C 25%
14°C 16%
15°C 2%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 16, 2026
8°C or below
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
1%
12°C
25%
13°C
61%
14°C
16%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
1%
13°C 61%
12°C 25%
14°C 16%
15°C 2%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 16, 2026
8°C or below
$43 KL.
1%
9°C
$43 KL.
1%
10°C
$28 KL.
2%
11°C
$28 KL.
1%
12°C
$1,032 KL.
25%
13°C
$947 KL.
61%
14°C
$326 KL.
16%
15°C
$91 KL.
2%
16°C
$43 KL.
1%
17°C
$43 KL.
1%
18°C or higher
$48 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 13°C overnight into September 16, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light to moderate westerly winds, and dew points supporting radiative cooling without significant cloud cover or precipitation. Multiple models, including GFS runs, converge on this range with limited spread, reflecting stable high pressure and typical early-autumn conditions that moderate overnight lows compared to deeper radiational cooling scenarios. Trader consensus at 60.5% for 13°C reflects this model agreement and proximity to resolution, while 12°C and 14°C options capture residual uncertainty in exact timing of any wind shifts or localized variations. Updated guidance through the evening of September 15 will likely anchor final positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,671Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 13°C overnight into September 16, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light to moderate westerly winds, and dew points supporting radiative cooling without significant cloud cover or precipitation. Multiple models, including GFS runs, converge on this range with limited spread, reflecting stable high pressure and typical early-autumn conditions that moderate overnight lows compared to deeper radiational cooling scenarios. Trader consensus at 60.5% for 13°C reflects this model agreement and proximity to resolution, while 12°C and 14°C options capture residual uncertainty in exact timing of any wind shifts or localized variations. Updated guidance through the evening of September 15 will likely anchor final positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,671Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 13°C overnight into September 16, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light to moderate westerly winds, and dew points supporting radiative cooling without significant cloud cover or precipitation. Multiple models, including GFS runs, converge on this range with limited spread, reflecting stable high pressure and typical early-autumn conditions that moderate overnight lows compared to deeper radiational cooling scenarios. Trader consensus at 60.5% for 13°C reflects this model agreement and proximity to resolution, while 12°C and 14°C options capture residual uncertainty in exact timing of any wind shifts or localized variations. Updated guidance through the evening of September 15 will likely anchor final positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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