A persistent Atlantic weather front has driven cooler, moist air into northern Italy, producing widespread rain and a sharp drop from recent highs near 30°C. Official forecasts from multiple models converge on an overnight minimum of 16°C for Milan on September 10, consistent with the 94% market-implied probability. This aligns with climatological expectations for early-September lows near 17°C while reflecting the current synoptic pattern of northeasterly flow and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Traders appear to view the consensus as robust given the short time remaining until midnight. A faster clearance of clouds or stronger winds could push the minimum above 17°C, while heavier precipitation or clearer skies later would favor readings at or below 15°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Milan on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Milan on September 10?
16°C 70%
15°C 47%
13°C 7%
14°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 10, 2026
12°C or below
3%
13°C
7%
14°C
5%
15°C
47%
16°C
70%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 70%
15°C 47%
13°C 7%
14°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 10, 2026
12°C or below
$210 KL.
3%
13°C
$139 KL.
7%
14°C
$25 KL.
5%
15°C
$0 KL.
47%
16°C
$8 KL.
70%
17°C
$83 KL.
<1%
18°C
$82 KL.
<1%
19°C
$138 KL.
<1%
20°C
$184 KL.
<1%
21°C
$35 KL.
<1%
22°C or higher
$115 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A persistent Atlantic weather front has driven cooler, moist air into northern Italy, producing widespread rain and a sharp drop from recent highs near 30°C. Official forecasts from multiple models converge on an overnight minimum of 16°C for Milan on September 10, consistent with the 94% market-implied probability. This aligns with climatological expectations for early-September lows near 17°C while reflecting the current synoptic pattern of northeasterly flow and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Traders appear to view the consensus as robust given the short time remaining until midnight. A faster clearance of clouds or stronger winds could push the minimum above 17°C, while heavier precipitation or clearer skies later would favor readings at or below 15°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,019Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A persistent Atlantic weather front has driven cooler, moist air into northern Italy, producing widespread rain and a sharp drop from recent highs near 30°C. Official forecasts from multiple models converge on an overnight minimum of 16°C for Milan on September 10, consistent with the 94% market-implied probability. This aligns with climatological expectations for early-September lows near 17°C while reflecting the current synoptic pattern of northeasterly flow and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Traders appear to view the consensus as robust given the short time remaining until midnight. A faster clearance of clouds or stronger winds could push the minimum above 17°C, while heavier precipitation or clearer skies later would favor readings at or below 15°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,019Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...A persistent Atlantic weather front has driven cooler, moist air into northern Italy, producing widespread rain and a sharp drop from recent highs near 30°C. Official forecasts from multiple models converge on an overnight minimum of 16°C for Milan on September 10, consistent with the 94% market-implied probability. This aligns with climatological expectations for early-September lows near 17°C while reflecting the current synoptic pattern of northeasterly flow and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Traders appear to view the consensus as robust given the short time remaining until midnight. A faster clearance of clouds or stronger winds could push the minimum above 17°C, while heavier precipitation or clearer skies later would favor readings at or below 15°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp