Current forecasts from Meteo-France and global models indicate a mild westerly flow over Paris on September 18, with overnight lows likely near 13°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters around 11–13°C because model runs show modest spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift minimum temperatures by 1–2°C; recent GFS and ECMWF guidance has stabilized near the seasonal average low of 11.4°C without major cold-air advection. Upcoming high-resolution runs and evening observations will refine the exact threshold, as clear spells could allow brief dips toward 11°C while persistent clouds support 13°C or higher.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on September 18?
10°C 36%
12°C 33%
11°C 28%
14°C 25%
7°C or below
2%
8°C
3%
9°C
5%
10°C
36%
11°C
28%
12°C
32%
13°C
20%
14°C
25%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C or higher
3%
10°C 36%
12°C 33%
11°C 28%
14°C 25%
7°C or below
2%
8°C
3%
9°C
5%
10°C
36%
11°C
28%
12°C
32%
13°C
20%
14°C
25%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Meteo-France and global models indicate a mild westerly flow over Paris on September 18, with overnight lows likely near 13°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters around 11–13°C because model runs show modest spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift minimum temperatures by 1–2°C; recent GFS and ECMWF guidance has stabilized near the seasonal average low of 11.4°C without major cold-air advection. Upcoming high-resolution runs and evening observations will refine the exact threshold, as clear spells could allow brief dips toward 11°C while persistent clouds support 13°C or higher.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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