Latest numerical weather prediction runs, including GFS guidance, indicate Paris will experience mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and possible patchy drizzle overnight into September 17, supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 12–13 °C. This places the 12 °C outcome at the center of trader consensus (49 % implied probability), followed by 11 °C and 13 °C, consistent with the historical September climatological average low of 11.4 °C and limited radiative cooling under cloud cover. Model agreement remains high with only modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures, while any unexpected clearing could allow slightly lower readings near 11 °C; final resolution will depend on the official Météo-France observation at the Paris-Montsouris station early on the 17th.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 17?
12°C 49%
11°C 25%
13°C 22%
14°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 17, 2026
8°C or below
3%
9°C
3%
10°C
7%
11°C
25%
12°C
49%
13°C
22%
14°C
8%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
2%
12°C 49%
11°C 25%
13°C 22%
14°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 17, 2026
8°C or below
$0 KL.
3%
9°C
$0 KL.
3%
10°C
$169 KL.
7%
11°C
$432 KL.
25%
12°C
$472 KL.
49%
13°C
$320 KL.
22%
14°C
$0 KL.
8%
15°C
$0 KL.
2%
16°C
$0 KL.
2%
17°C
$0 KL.
2%
18°C or higher
$0 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction runs, including GFS guidance, indicate Paris will experience mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and possible patchy drizzle overnight into September 17, supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 12–13 °C. This places the 12 °C outcome at the center of trader consensus (49 % implied probability), followed by 11 °C and 13 °C, consistent with the historical September climatological average low of 11.4 °C and limited radiative cooling under cloud cover. Model agreement remains high with only modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures, while any unexpected clearing could allow slightly lower readings near 11 °C; final resolution will depend on the official Météo-France observation at the Paris-Montsouris station early on the 17th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,393Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction runs, including GFS guidance, indicate Paris will experience mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and possible patchy drizzle overnight into September 17, supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 12–13 °C. This places the 12 °C outcome at the center of trader consensus (49 % implied probability), followed by 11 °C and 13 °C, consistent with the historical September climatological average low of 11.4 °C and limited radiative cooling under cloud cover. Model agreement remains high with only modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures, while any unexpected clearing could allow slightly lower readings near 11 °C; final resolution will depend on the official Météo-France observation at the Paris-Montsouris station early on the 17th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,393Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction runs, including GFS guidance, indicate Paris will experience mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and possible patchy drizzle overnight into September 17, supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 12–13 °C. This places the 12 °C outcome at the center of trader consensus (49 % implied probability), followed by 11 °C and 13 °C, consistent with the historical September climatological average low of 11.4 °C and limited radiative cooling under cloud cover. Model agreement remains high with only modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures, while any unexpected clearing could allow slightly lower readings near 11 °C; final resolution will depend on the official Météo-France observation at the Paris-Montsouris station early on the 17th.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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