Recent ensemble forecasts from models like GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 13°C in Paris on September 19 under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow, limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting the market's leading 13°C (43.5%) and 12°C (30.5%) outcomes. These align with current conditions showing mild air masses and no strong high-pressure setup for sharper drops, though model spread allows for 10°C or below (23.5%) if clearer skies develop. The 14°C (16.5%) probability reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, consistent with historical September variability around the 11.2°C climatological average low. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine these trader-implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 19?
13°C 40%
12°C 31%
10°C or below 21%
15°C 21%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 19, 2026
10°C or below
21%
11°C
13%
12°C
31%
13°C
40%
14°C
17%
15°C
21%
16°C
21%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
2%
13°C 40%
12°C 31%
10°C or below 21%
15°C 21%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 19, 2026
10°C or below
$0 KL.
21%
11°C
$0 KL.
13%
12°C
$0 KL.
31%
13°C
$908 KL.
40%
14°C
$56 KL.
17%
15°C
$0 KL.
21%
16°C
$0 KL.
21%
17°C
$0 KL.
2%
18°C
$0 KL.
2%
19°C
$0 KL.
2%
20°C or higher
$0 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models like GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 13°C in Paris on September 19 under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow, limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting the market's leading 13°C (43.5%) and 12°C (30.5%) outcomes. These align with current conditions showing mild air masses and no strong high-pressure setup for sharper drops, though model spread allows for 10°C or below (23.5%) if clearer skies develop. The 14°C (16.5%) probability reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, consistent with historical September variability around the 11.2°C climatological average low. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine these trader-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$964Ngày kết thúc
Sep 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models like GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 13°C in Paris on September 19 under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow, limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting the market's leading 13°C (43.5%) and 12°C (30.5%) outcomes. These align with current conditions showing mild air masses and no strong high-pressure setup for sharper drops, though model spread allows for 10°C or below (23.5%) if clearer skies develop. The 14°C (16.5%) probability reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, consistent with historical September variability around the 11.2°C climatological average low. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine these trader-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$964Ngày kết thúc
Sep 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models like GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 13°C in Paris on September 19 under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow, limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting the market's leading 13°C (43.5%) and 12°C (30.5%) outcomes. These align with current conditions showing mild air masses and no strong high-pressure setup for sharper drops, though model spread allows for 10°C or below (23.5%) if clearer skies develop. The 14°C (16.5%) probability reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, consistent with historical September variability around the 11.2°C climatological average low. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine these trader-implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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