Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Paris overnight lows settling near 11–13°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds, supporting the tight market split between 12°C and 13°C. High pressure promotes radiational cooling after sunset, with minimal cloud cover and dew points around 10–12°C limiting further temperature drops. Historical September averages near 11°C provide context, yet recent model runs show slight upward revisions from drier air advection. Traders weigh these variables against resolution criteria tied to official station readings, with any late-evening cloud increases or wind shifts capable of nudging the minimum higher.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on September 20?
13°C 66%
11°C 15%
14°C 3.5%
10°C or below 2%
$10,088 KL.
$10,088 KL.
10°C or below
2%
11°C
15%
12°C
-
13°C
66%
14°C
3%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
13°C 66%
11°C 15%
14°C 3.5%
10°C or below 2%
$10,088 KL.
$10,088 KL.
10°C or below
2%
11°C
15%
12°C
-
13°C
66%
14°C
3%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Paris overnight lows settling near 11–13°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds, supporting the tight market split between 12°C and 13°C. High pressure promotes radiational cooling after sunset, with minimal cloud cover and dew points around 10–12°C limiting further temperature drops. Historical September averages near 11°C provide context, yet recent model runs show slight upward revisions from drier air advection. Traders weigh these variables against resolution criteria tied to official station readings, with any late-evening cloud increases or wind shifts capable of nudging the minimum higher.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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