Forecast models for Qingdao on September 17 point to a minimum near 22°C under mostly cloudy skies and southeasterly flow at 3–4 levels, consistent with late-summer marine influence moderating nocturnal cooling. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers shows highs of 25–27°C and limited diurnal range due to persistent cloud cover, aligning closely with historical September averages of 18–26°C. Trader positioning reflects model spread, with 40% implied odds on 19°C or below capturing potential for stronger onshore advection or clearer radiative cooling, while elevated probabilities above 29°C appear driven by outlier warmer scenarios. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and boundary-layer observations will likely refine the exact overnight low before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 17?
29°C or higher 92%
23°C 40%
24°C 40%
25°C 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 17, 2026
19°C or below
38%
20°C
31%
21°C
22%
22°C
22%
23°C
40%
24°C
40%
25°C
40%
26°C
40%
27°C
40%
28°C
40%
29°C or higher
92%
29°C or higher 92%
23°C 40%
24°C 40%
25°C 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 17, 2026
19°C or below
$0 KL.
38%
20°C
$0 KL.
31%
21°C
$0 KL.
22%
22°C
$0 KL.
22%
23°C
$0 KL.
40%
24°C
$0 KL.
40%
25°C
$0 KL.
40%
26°C
$0 KL.
40%
27°C
$0 KL.
40%
28°C
$0 KL.
40%
29°C or higher
$0 KL.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Qingdao on September 17 point to a minimum near 22°C under mostly cloudy skies and southeasterly flow at 3–4 levels, consistent with late-summer marine influence moderating nocturnal cooling. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers shows highs of 25–27°C and limited diurnal range due to persistent cloud cover, aligning closely with historical September averages of 18–26°C. Trader positioning reflects model spread, with 40% implied odds on 19°C or below capturing potential for stronger onshore advection or clearer radiative cooling, while elevated probabilities above 29°C appear driven by outlier warmer scenarios. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and boundary-layer observations will likely refine the exact overnight low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Qingdao on September 17 point to a minimum near 22°C under mostly cloudy skies and southeasterly flow at 3–4 levels, consistent with late-summer marine influence moderating nocturnal cooling. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers shows highs of 25–27°C and limited diurnal range due to persistent cloud cover, aligning closely with historical September averages of 18–26°C. Trader positioning reflects model spread, with 40% implied odds on 19°C or below capturing potential for stronger onshore advection or clearer radiative cooling, while elevated probabilities above 29°C appear driven by outlier warmer scenarios. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and boundary-layer observations will likely refine the exact overnight low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Qingdao on September 17 point to a minimum near 22°C under mostly cloudy skies and southeasterly flow at 3–4 levels, consistent with late-summer marine influence moderating nocturnal cooling. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers shows highs of 25–27°C and limited diurnal range due to persistent cloud cover, aligning closely with historical September averages of 18–26°C. Trader positioning reflects model spread, with 40% implied odds on 19°C or below capturing potential for stronger onshore advection or clearer radiative cooling, while elevated probabilities above 29°C appear driven by outlier warmer scenarios. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and boundary-layer observations will likely refine the exact overnight low before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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