**Current forecasts and observational data position an 18°C low as the consensus outcome for Qingdao on September 18, 2026.** Local meteorological guidance consistently projects overnight minima near 18–19°C under partly cloudy to clear skies with light southeasterly flow, consistent with mid-September climatology (historical average lows ~18–20°C). Maritime moderation from the Yellow Sea limits nocturnal cooling, while recent model runs show no strong cold-air advection or significant cloud cover that would alter the thermal profile. Trader-implied odds reflect this stability, with the 16°C-or-below bucket capturing residual uncertainty from minor forecast spread or localized urban effects. Upcoming hourly observations through the night will resolve the exact minimum, with any late-model shift in steering or humidity likely to determine whether probabilities tilt further toward 18°C or allow the lower tail to gain.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 18?
16°C or below 81%
17°C 81%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 18, 2026
16°C or below
81%
17°C
81%
18°C
-
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
16°C or below 81%
17°C 81%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 18, 2026
16°C or below
$0 KL.
81%
17°C
$25 KL.
81%
18°C
$100 KL.
-
19°C
$177 KL.
<1%
20°C
$251 KL.
<1%
21°C
$1,032 KL.
<1%
22°C
$37 KL.
<1%
23°C
$42 KL.
<1%
24°C
$37 KL.
<1%
25°C
$37 KL.
<1%
26°C or higher
$37 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts and observational data position an 18°C low as the consensus outcome for Qingdao on September 18, 2026.** Local meteorological guidance consistently projects overnight minima near 18–19°C under partly cloudy to clear skies with light southeasterly flow, consistent with mid-September climatology (historical average lows ~18–20°C). Maritime moderation from the Yellow Sea limits nocturnal cooling, while recent model runs show no strong cold-air advection or significant cloud cover that would alter the thermal profile. Trader-implied odds reflect this stability, with the 16°C-or-below bucket capturing residual uncertainty from minor forecast spread or localized urban effects. Upcoming hourly observations through the night will resolve the exact minimum, with any late-model shift in steering or humidity likely to determine whether probabilities tilt further toward 18°C or allow the lower tail to gain.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,775Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts and observational data position an 18°C low as the consensus outcome for Qingdao on September 18, 2026.** Local meteorological guidance consistently projects overnight minima near 18–19°C under partly cloudy to clear skies with light southeasterly flow, consistent with mid-September climatology (historical average lows ~18–20°C). Maritime moderation from the Yellow Sea limits nocturnal cooling, while recent model runs show no strong cold-air advection or significant cloud cover that would alter the thermal profile. Trader-implied odds reflect this stability, with the 16°C-or-below bucket capturing residual uncertainty from minor forecast spread or localized urban effects. Upcoming hourly observations through the night will resolve the exact minimum, with any late-model shift in steering or humidity likely to determine whether probabilities tilt further toward 18°C or allow the lower tail to gain.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,775Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts and observational data position an 18°C low as the consensus outcome for Qingdao on September 18, 2026.** Local meteorological guidance consistently projects overnight minima near 18–19°C under partly cloudy to clear skies with light southeasterly flow, consistent with mid-September climatology (historical average lows ~18–20°C). Maritime moderation from the Yellow Sea limits nocturnal cooling, while recent model runs show no strong cold-air advection or significant cloud cover that would alter the thermal profile. Trader-implied odds reflect this stability, with the 16°C-or-below bucket capturing residual uncertainty from minor forecast spread or localized urban effects. Upcoming hourly observations through the night will resolve the exact minimum, with any late-model shift in steering or humidity likely to determine whether probabilities tilt further toward 18°C or allow the lower tail to gain.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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