Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models like those aggregated on Yr.no point to a low around 20–22°C for Qingdao on September 6 under mostly clear skies and a shift to northerly winds at 3–5 m/s. These conditions typically allow for efficient nocturnal radiational cooling after daytime highs near 28–29°C, yet the market assigns the highest implied probability to 16°C or below. This positioning likely reflects trader focus on model spread, potential for stronger onshore flow, or slight downward revisions in guidance amid stable high pressure and seasonal early-September baselines near 18°C. Upcoming model runs and official updates from regional agencies will clarify whether northerly advection or clear-sky cooling pushes the low lower than current consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 6?
16°C or below 100%
20°C 49%
21°C 49%
23°C 49%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 6, 2026
16°C or below
100%
17°C
26%
18°C
27%
19°C
29%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
2%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C or higher
47%
16°C or below 100%
20°C 49%
21°C 49%
23°C 49%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 6, 2026
16°C or below
$0 KL.
100%
17°C
$0 KL.
26%
18°C
$0 KL.
27%
19°C
$0 KL.
29%
20°C
$0 KL.
49%
21°C
$0 KL.
49%
22°C
$0 KL.
2%
23°C
$0 KL.
49%
24°C
$0 KL.
49%
25°C
$0 KL.
49%
26°C or higher
$0 KL.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models like those aggregated on Yr.no point to a low around 20–22°C for Qingdao on September 6 under mostly clear skies and a shift to northerly winds at 3–5 m/s. These conditions typically allow for efficient nocturnal radiational cooling after daytime highs near 28–29°C, yet the market assigns the highest implied probability to 16°C or below. This positioning likely reflects trader focus on model spread, potential for stronger onshore flow, or slight downward revisions in guidance amid stable high pressure and seasonal early-September baselines near 18°C. Upcoming model runs and official updates from regional agencies will clarify whether northerly advection or clear-sky cooling pushes the low lower than current consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models like those aggregated on Yr.no point to a low around 20–22°C for Qingdao on September 6 under mostly clear skies and a shift to northerly winds at 3–5 m/s. These conditions typically allow for efficient nocturnal radiational cooling after daytime highs near 28–29°C, yet the market assigns the highest implied probability to 16°C or below. This positioning likely reflects trader focus on model spread, potential for stronger onshore flow, or slight downward revisions in guidance amid stable high pressure and seasonal early-September baselines near 18°C. Upcoming model runs and official updates from regional agencies will clarify whether northerly advection or clear-sky cooling pushes the low lower than current consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models like those aggregated on Yr.no point to a low around 20–22°C for Qingdao on September 6 under mostly clear skies and a shift to northerly winds at 3–5 m/s. These conditions typically allow for efficient nocturnal radiational cooling after daytime highs near 28–29°C, yet the market assigns the highest implied probability to 16°C or below. This positioning likely reflects trader focus on model spread, potential for stronger onshore flow, or slight downward revisions in guidance amid stable high pressure and seasonal early-September baselines near 18°C. Upcoming model runs and official updates from regional agencies will clarify whether northerly advection or clear-sky cooling pushes the low lower than current consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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