Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance projects a 25°C minimum for Seoul-Incheon on August 21 amid cloudy skies, 30–60% rain chances, and light winds that curb nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity and limited clear-sky intervals keep overnight lows near the late-summer climatological average of roughly 22–24°C, positioning 24°C and 25°C as the dominant outcomes in trader consensus. Recent short-range model runs show modest spread tied to the timing of any showers, which could allow slightly greater cooling if skies briefly clear. This uncertainty, combined with ensemble consistency around the official minimum, underpins the market’s tight clustering at 24–25°C while assigning low probability to extremes outside 23–26°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 21?
25°C 37%
23°C 11%
26°C 10%
22°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
11%
24°C
53%
25°C
37%
26°C
10%
27°C
5%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 37%
23°C 11%
26°C 10%
22°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
19°C or below
$18 KL.
<1%
20°C
$0 KL.
1%
21°C
$0 KL.
2%
22°C
$0 KL.
5%
23°C
$0 KL.
11%
24°C
$28 KL.
53%
25°C
$0 KL.
37%
26°C
$0 KL.
10%
27°C
$0 KL.
5%
28°C
$5 KL.
2%
29°C or higher
$0 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance projects a 25°C minimum for Seoul-Incheon on August 21 amid cloudy skies, 30–60% rain chances, and light winds that curb nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity and limited clear-sky intervals keep overnight lows near the late-summer climatological average of roughly 22–24°C, positioning 24°C and 25°C as the dominant outcomes in trader consensus. Recent short-range model runs show modest spread tied to the timing of any showers, which could allow slightly greater cooling if skies briefly clear. This uncertainty, combined with ensemble consistency around the official minimum, underpins the market’s tight clustering at 24–25°C while assigning low probability to extremes outside 23–26°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$51Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance projects a 25°C minimum for Seoul-Incheon on August 21 amid cloudy skies, 30–60% rain chances, and light winds that curb nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity and limited clear-sky intervals keep overnight lows near the late-summer climatological average of roughly 22–24°C, positioning 24°C and 25°C as the dominant outcomes in trader consensus. Recent short-range model runs show modest spread tied to the timing of any showers, which could allow slightly greater cooling if skies briefly clear. This uncertainty, combined with ensemble consistency around the official minimum, underpins the market’s tight clustering at 24–25°C while assigning low probability to extremes outside 23–26°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$51Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance projects a 25°C minimum for Seoul-Incheon on August 21 amid cloudy skies, 30–60% rain chances, and light winds that curb nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity and limited clear-sky intervals keep overnight lows near the late-summer climatological average of roughly 22–24°C, positioning 24°C and 25°C as the dominant outcomes in trader consensus. Recent short-range model runs show modest spread tied to the timing of any showers, which could allow slightly greater cooling if skies briefly clear. This uncertainty, combined with ensemble consistency around the official minimum, underpins the market’s tight clustering at 24–25°C while assigning low probability to extremes outside 23–26°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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