Persistent extreme heatwave conditions across South Korea, with Korea Meteorological Administration severe warnings and daytime highs near 37°C in the Seoul-Incheon area, are driving near-certain market consensus on a 28°C minimum temperature at the Incheon station for August 5. Strong subsidence, elevated humidity, and mostly clear skies are suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling well above the seasonal average low of 22–23°C, producing tropical night conditions consistent with recent model runs. This positioning reflects trader assessment of sustained warmth through the peak of the pattern. A sudden increase in cloud cover, precipitation, or a shift in steering flow could enhance overnight cooling and lower the minimum below the implied threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 5?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 5?
28°C 94.2%
27°C 1.0%
23°C <1%
25°C <1%
$12,875 KL.
$12,875 KL.
Aug 5, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
94%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 94.2%
27°C 1.0%
23°C <1%
25°C <1%
$12,875 KL.
$12,875 KL.
Aug 5, 2026
22°C or below
$663 KL.
<1%
23°C
$859 KL.
<1%
24°C
$571 KL.
<1%
25°C
$578 KL.
<1%
26°C
$1,286 KL.
<1%
27°C
$1,392 KL.
1%
28°C
$4,367 KL.
94%
29°C
$1,838 KL.
<1%
30°C
$431 KL.
<1%
31°C
$425 KL.
<1%
32°C or higher
$503 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent extreme heatwave conditions across South Korea, with Korea Meteorological Administration severe warnings and daytime highs near 37°C in the Seoul-Incheon area, are driving near-certain market consensus on a 28°C minimum temperature at the Incheon station for August 5. Strong subsidence, elevated humidity, and mostly clear skies are suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling well above the seasonal average low of 22–23°C, producing tropical night conditions consistent with recent model runs. This positioning reflects trader assessment of sustained warmth through the peak of the pattern. A sudden increase in cloud cover, precipitation, or a shift in steering flow could enhance overnight cooling and lower the minimum below the implied threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$12,875Ngày kết thúc
Aug 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent extreme heatwave conditions across South Korea, with Korea Meteorological Administration severe warnings and daytime highs near 37°C in the Seoul-Incheon area, are driving near-certain market consensus on a 28°C minimum temperature at the Incheon station for August 5. Strong subsidence, elevated humidity, and mostly clear skies are suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling well above the seasonal average low of 22–23°C, producing tropical night conditions consistent with recent model runs. This positioning reflects trader assessment of sustained warmth through the peak of the pattern. A sudden increase in cloud cover, precipitation, or a shift in steering flow could enhance overnight cooling and lower the minimum below the implied threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$12,875Ngày kết thúc
Aug 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent extreme heatwave conditions across South Korea, with Korea Meteorological Administration severe warnings and daytime highs near 37°C in the Seoul-Incheon area, are driving near-certain market consensus on a 28°C minimum temperature at the Incheon station for August 5. Strong subsidence, elevated humidity, and mostly clear skies are suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling well above the seasonal average low of 22–23°C, producing tropical night conditions consistent with recent model runs. This positioning reflects trader assessment of sustained warmth through the peak of the pattern. A sudden increase in cloud cover, precipitation, or a shift in steering flow could enhance overnight cooling and lower the minimum below the implied threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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