Recent forecasts from meteorological services indicate Shanghai will experience typical late-summer subtropical conditions on August 21, with persistent humidity, cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms limiting radiative cooling overnight. These factors support an expected minimum near 26–28°C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 27°C. Official guidance shows no incoming cold fronts or significant wind shifts that would drive sharper drops, while historical August climatology places average lows around 25–27°C under similar moisture patterns. Updated model runs through mid-August have reinforced this range without notable revisions, keeping trader consensus centered on modest night-to-night variability tied to rain timing and urban heat retention.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 21?
27°C 57%
26°C 26%
28°C 17%
25°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
26%
27°C
57%
28°C
17%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 57%
26°C 26%
28°C 17%
25°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
$217 KL.
<1%
23°C
$228 KL.
1%
24°C
$389 KL.
1%
25°C
$167 KL.
4%
26°C
$336 KL.
26%
27°C
$570 KL.
57%
28°C
$1,233 KL.
17%
29°C
$89 KL.
2%
30°C
$33 KL.
<1%
31°C
$57 KL.
<1%
32°C or higher
$197 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological services indicate Shanghai will experience typical late-summer subtropical conditions on August 21, with persistent humidity, cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms limiting radiative cooling overnight. These factors support an expected minimum near 26–28°C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 27°C. Official guidance shows no incoming cold fronts or significant wind shifts that would drive sharper drops, while historical August climatology places average lows around 25–27°C under similar moisture patterns. Updated model runs through mid-August have reinforced this range without notable revisions, keeping trader consensus centered on modest night-to-night variability tied to rain timing and urban heat retention.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,510Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological services indicate Shanghai will experience typical late-summer subtropical conditions on August 21, with persistent humidity, cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms limiting radiative cooling overnight. These factors support an expected minimum near 26–28°C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 27°C. Official guidance shows no incoming cold fronts or significant wind shifts that would drive sharper drops, while historical August climatology places average lows around 25–27°C under similar moisture patterns. Updated model runs through mid-August have reinforced this range without notable revisions, keeping trader consensus centered on modest night-to-night variability tied to rain timing and urban heat retention.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,510Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological services indicate Shanghai will experience typical late-summer subtropical conditions on August 21, with persistent humidity, cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms limiting radiative cooling overnight. These factors support an expected minimum near 26–28°C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 27°C. Official guidance shows no incoming cold fronts or significant wind shifts that would drive sharper drops, while historical August climatology places average lows around 25–27°C under similar moisture patterns. Updated model runs through mid-August have reinforced this range without notable revisions, keeping trader consensus centered on modest night-to-night variability tied to rain timing and urban heat retention.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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