Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on an overnight low of 23–24°C for Tel Aviv on September 16, 2026, under clear skies and light northwesterly winds that support typical radiative cooling after daytime highs near 31–32°C. This consensus, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and seasonal Mediterranean patterns, underpins the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those exact outcomes. Drier air and minimal cloud cover limit further temperature drops, while any slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing explains modest probabilities assigned to 22°C or 25°C. Updated guidance from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service will refine the final minimum before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 16?
30°C or higher 95%
23°C 46%
24°C 40%
26°C 30%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 16, 2026
20°C or below
28%
21°C
16%
22°C
20%
23°C
29%
24°C
36%
25°C
17%
26°C
30%
27°C
14%
28°C
8%
29°C
8%
30°C or higher
95%
30°C or higher 95%
23°C 46%
24°C 40%
26°C 30%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 16, 2026
20°C or below
$42 KL.
28%
21°C
$0 KL.
16%
22°C
$0 KL.
20%
23°C
$43 KL.
29%
24°C
$5 KL.
36%
25°C
$5 KL.
17%
26°C
$0 KL.
30%
27°C
$0 KL.
14%
28°C
$0 KL.
8%
29°C
$0 KL.
8%
30°C or higher
$0 KL.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on an overnight low of 23–24°C for Tel Aviv on September 16, 2026, under clear skies and light northwesterly winds that support typical radiative cooling after daytime highs near 31–32°C. This consensus, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and seasonal Mediterranean patterns, underpins the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those exact outcomes. Drier air and minimal cloud cover limit further temperature drops, while any slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing explains modest probabilities assigned to 22°C or 25°C. Updated guidance from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service will refine the final minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$95Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on an overnight low of 23–24°C for Tel Aviv on September 16, 2026, under clear skies and light northwesterly winds that support typical radiative cooling after daytime highs near 31–32°C. This consensus, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and seasonal Mediterranean patterns, underpins the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those exact outcomes. Drier air and minimal cloud cover limit further temperature drops, while any slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing explains modest probabilities assigned to 22°C or 25°C. Updated guidance from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service will refine the final minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$95Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on an overnight low of 23–24°C for Tel Aviv on September 16, 2026, under clear skies and light northwesterly winds that support typical radiative cooling after daytime highs near 31–32°C. This consensus, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and seasonal Mediterranean patterns, underpins the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those exact outcomes. Drier air and minimal cloud cover limit further temperature drops, while any slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing explains modest probabilities assigned to 22°C or 25°C. Updated guidance from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service will refine the final minimum before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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