**Current forecast models from sources like GFS indicate an overnight low near 16–17°C (about 61–63°F) for Warsaw on September 9, 2026, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds shifting northwest, and moderate radiative cooling under stable high-pressure conditions.** This setup limits cloud cover and mixing, allowing surface temperatures to drop steadily after sunset, though residual warmth from the day's peak near 27–29°C (81–84°F) and dew points around 10–14°C moderate the decline. Market-implied odds heavily favor 15°C as the daily minimum, reflecting model consensus on these factors alongside typical early-September variability in central Poland, where historical overnight lows often range 11–15°C. Upcoming hourly observations and any late-evening model updates will refine this before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 9?
15°C 99%
14°C 33%
13°C 4%
11°C or below <1%
11°C or below
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
33%
15°C
75%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
15°C 99%
14°C 33%
13°C 4%
11°C or below <1%
11°C or below
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
33%
15°C
75%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models from sources like GFS indicate an overnight low near 16–17°C (about 61–63°F) for Warsaw on September 9, 2026, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds shifting northwest, and moderate radiative cooling under stable high-pressure conditions.** This setup limits cloud cover and mixing, allowing surface temperatures to drop steadily after sunset, though residual warmth from the day's peak near 27–29°C (81–84°F) and dew points around 10–14°C moderate the decline. Market-implied odds heavily favor 15°C as the daily minimum, reflecting model consensus on these factors alongside typical early-September variability in central Poland, where historical overnight lows often range 11–15°C. Upcoming hourly observations and any late-evening model updates will refine this before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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