**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models point to a mild overnight low near 19–20°C in Zhengzhou on September 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, light variable winds shifting from southerly to northwesterly, and elevated humidity that limits radiative cooling.** Overcast skies and dew points around 15–17°C reduce the potential for sharp temperature drops typical under clear conditions, keeping the minimum well above the 15°C threshold while preventing extremes above 25°C. Historical September climatology for the region shows average lows near 18–20°C, with the current pattern aligning closely due to stable high pressure and minimal frontal activity. Traders appear to weigh slight model spreads—some runs favor marginally cooler readings if partial clearing occurs overnight—against the consensus for stable, humid conditions, resulting in tightly matched probabilities across the 18–22°C range. Updated short-range guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 17?
15°C or below 100%
25°C or higher 98%
18°C 40%
19°C 38%
15°C or below
100%
16°C
37%
17°C
37%
18°C
40%
19°C
38%
20°C
37%
21°C
37%
22°C
37%
23°C
16%
24°C
16%
25°C or higher
98%
15°C or below 100%
25°C or higher 98%
18°C 40%
19°C 38%
15°C or below
100%
16°C
37%
17°C
37%
18°C
40%
19°C
38%
20°C
37%
21°C
37%
22°C
37%
23°C
16%
24°C
16%
25°C or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models point to a mild overnight low near 19–20°C in Zhengzhou on September 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, light variable winds shifting from southerly to northwesterly, and elevated humidity that limits radiative cooling.** Overcast skies and dew points around 15–17°C reduce the potential for sharp temperature drops typical under clear conditions, keeping the minimum well above the 15°C threshold while preventing extremes above 25°C. Historical September climatology for the region shows average lows near 18–20°C, with the current pattern aligning closely due to stable high pressure and minimal frontal activity. Traders appear to weigh slight model spreads—some runs favor marginally cooler readings if partial clearing occurs overnight—against the consensus for stable, humid conditions, resulting in tightly matched probabilities across the 18–22°C range. Updated short-range guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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