Lori Trahan's incumbency in Massachusetts's 3rd Congressional District, combined with its consistent Democratic lean (Cook PVI around D+11 or stronger), underpins the 95.5% trader consensus for a Democratic win in the November 2026 general election. All major forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic ahead of the September 1 primaries. Trahan has raised over $1.5 million with substantial cash on hand, while Republican Gary Grossi and any independent have reported negligible fundraising. No credible primary challenge remains for the Democratic nomination. Realistic shifts in odds would require an unforeseen national environment swing, a late scandal or health event for the incumbent, or an unprecedented Republican surge in a district that has not elected a GOP member in decades.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMA-03 House Election Winner
MA-03 House Election Winner
$23,147 KL.
$23,147 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
2%
$23,147 KL.
$23,147 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,830 KL.
96%
Republican Party
$11,317 KL.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Lori Trahan's incumbency in Massachusetts's 3rd Congressional District, combined with its consistent Democratic lean (Cook PVI around D+11 or stronger), underpins the 95.5% trader consensus for a Democratic win in the November 2026 general election. All major forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic ahead of the September 1 primaries. Trahan has raised over $1.5 million with substantial cash on hand, while Republican Gary Grossi and any independent have reported negligible fundraising. No credible primary challenge remains for the Democratic nomination.
Realistic shifts in odds would require an unforeseen national environment swing, a late scandal or health event for the incumbent, or an unprecedented Republican surge in a district that has not elected a GOP member in decades.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$23,147Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Lori Trahan's incumbency in Massachusetts's 3rd Congressional District, combined with its consistent Democratic lean (Cook PVI around D+11 or stronger), underpins the 95.5% trader consensus for a Democratic win in the November 2026 general election. All major forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic ahead of the September 1 primaries. Trahan has raised over $1.5 million with substantial cash on hand, while Republican Gary Grossi and any independent have reported negligible fundraising. No credible primary challenge remains for the Democratic nomination.
Realistic shifts in odds would require an unforeseen national environment swing, a late scandal or health event for the incumbent, or an unprecedented Republican surge in a district that has not elected a GOP member in decades.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$23,147Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Lori Trahan's incumbency in Massachusetts's 3rd Congressional District, combined with its consistent Democratic lean (Cook PVI around D+11 or stronger), underpins the 95.5% trader consensus for a Democratic win in the November 2026 general election. All major forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic ahead of the September 1 primaries. Trahan has raised over $1.5 million with substantial cash on hand, while Republican Gary Grossi and any independent have reported negligible fundraising. No credible primary challenge remains for the Democratic nomination. Realistic shifts in odds would require an unforeseen national environment swing, a late scandal or health event for the incumbent, or an unprecedented Republican surge in a district that has not elected a GOP member in decades.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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