**Traders assign an 80% probability to "No" on Maduro being convicted on every count because the U.S. drug-trafficking and narco-terrorism case remains in early pretrial stages with substantial procedural barriers ahead.** Maduro and his wife, captured in a January 2026 U.S. military operation, have pleaded not guilty and filed motions seeking dismissal on head-of-state immunity grounds, with oral arguments scheduled for November 17, 2026. A June 2027 trial date was set jointly by prosecutors and defense, leaving ample time for further motions, jurisdictional challenges, potential plea negotiations, or outcomes short of unanimous convictions on all four counts. The extended timeline through the end of 2027, combined with sovereign immunity arguments and the rarity of full convictions in such cases, underpins the current market consensus reflected in the pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMaduro guilty of all counts?
Maduro guilty of all counts?
20% khả năng
$133,116 KL.
$133,116 KL.
Dec 30, 2027
20% khả năng
$133,116 KL.
$133,116 KL.
Dec 30, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Traders assign an 80% probability to "No" on Maduro being convicted on every count because the U.S. drug-trafficking and narco-terrorism case remains in early pretrial stages with substantial procedural barriers ahead.** Maduro and his wife, captured in a January 2026 U.S. military operation, have pleaded not guilty and filed motions seeking dismissal on head-of-state immunity grounds, with oral arguments scheduled for November 17, 2026. A June 2027 trial date was set jointly by prosecutors and defense, leaving ample time for further motions, jurisdictional challenges, potential plea negotiations, or outcomes short of unanimous convictions on all four counts. The extended timeline through the end of 2027, combined with sovereign immunity arguments and the rarity of full convictions in such cases, underpins the current market consensus reflected in the pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Khối lượng
$133,116Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Traders assign an 80% probability to "No" on Maduro being convicted on every count because the U.S. drug-trafficking and narco-terrorism case remains in early pretrial stages with substantial procedural barriers ahead.** Maduro and his wife, captured in a January 2026 U.S. military operation, have pleaded not guilty and filed motions seeking dismissal on head-of-state immunity grounds, with oral arguments scheduled for November 17, 2026. A June 2027 trial date was set jointly by prosecutors and defense, leaving ample time for further motions, jurisdictional challenges, potential plea negotiations, or outcomes short of unanimous convictions on all four counts. The extended timeline through the end of 2027, combined with sovereign immunity arguments and the rarity of full convictions in such cases, underpins the current market consensus reflected in the pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$133,116Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...**Traders assign an 80% probability to "No" on Maduro being convicted on every count because the U.S. drug-trafficking and narco-terrorism case remains in early pretrial stages with substantial procedural barriers ahead.** Maduro and his wife, captured in a January 2026 U.S. military operation, have pleaded not guilty and filed motions seeking dismissal on head-of-state immunity grounds, with oral arguments scheduled for November 17, 2026. A June 2027 trial date was set jointly by prosecutors and defense, leaving ample time for further motions, jurisdictional challenges, potential plea negotiations, or outcomes short of unanimous convictions on all four counts. The extended timeline through the end of 2027, combined with sovereign immunity arguments and the rarity of full convictions in such cases, underpins the current market consensus reflected in the pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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