**Nicolás Maduro faces U.S. federal charges including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses stemming from a 2020 indictment, with a superseding indictment unsealed after his January 3, 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation in Caracas.** He and his wife remain detained at Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center without bail while pretrial motions proceed in the Southern District of New York; a March 2026 hearing denied a defense motion to dismiss. Conviction on the most serious counts could result in decades or life imprisonment, supporting longer-sentence brackets, yet the leading “no prison time” outcome reflects ongoing uncertainty over plea negotiations, procedural challenges, potential diplomatic resolutions, or protracted delays before any trial. No date has been set, and the case continues under standard federal criminal procedures.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKhông ngồi tù 36%
60+ 25%
20–40 11.3%
<20 11.0%
$567,026 KL.
$567,026 KL.
Không ngồi tù
36%
<20
11%
20–40
11%
40–60
6%
60+
25%
Không ngồi tù 36%
60+ 25%
20–40 11.3%
<20 11.0%
$567,026 KL.
$567,026 KL.
Không ngồi tù
36%
<20
11%
20–40
11%
40–60
6%
60+
25%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Nicolás Maduro faces U.S. federal charges including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses stemming from a 2020 indictment, with a superseding indictment unsealed after his January 3, 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation in Caracas.** He and his wife remain detained at Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center without bail while pretrial motions proceed in the Southern District of New York; a March 2026 hearing denied a defense motion to dismiss. Conviction on the most serious counts could result in decades or life imprisonment, supporting longer-sentence brackets, yet the leading “no prison time” outcome reflects ongoing uncertainty over plea negotiations, procedural challenges, potential diplomatic resolutions, or protracted delays before any trial. No date has been set, and the case continues under standard federal criminal procedures.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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