Incumbent Republican Rep. Mike Ezell advanced easily from the March 10 GOP primary, defeating challenger Sawyer Walters to secure renomination in solidly Republican Mississippi's 4th Congressional District, where he won reelection in 2024 with over 70% of the vote. Facing Democratic state Rep. Jeffrey Hulum III, a Gulfport Army veteran who won his uncontested primary, traders price GOP victory at 85.5% reflecting the district's strong partisan lean—rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report—and historical base rates for incumbents in safe seats. No polls or major developments have emerged in the past 60 days to shift sentiment ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMS-04 House Election Winner
MS-04 House Election Winner
$23,730 KL.
$23,730 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
86%
Democratic Party
4%
$23,730 KL.
$23,730 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$9,428 KL.
86%
Democratic Party
$14,301 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Mike Ezell advanced easily from the March 10 GOP primary, defeating challenger Sawyer Walters to secure renomination in solidly Republican Mississippi's 4th Congressional District, where he won reelection in 2024 with over 70% of the vote. Facing Democratic state Rep. Jeffrey Hulum III, a Gulfport Army veteran who won his uncontested primary, traders price GOP victory at 85.5% reflecting the district's strong partisan lean—rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report—and historical base rates for incumbents in safe seats. No polls or major developments have emerged in the past 60 days to shift sentiment ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$23,730Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Mike Ezell advanced easily from the March 10 GOP primary, defeating challenger Sawyer Walters to secure renomination in solidly Republican Mississippi's 4th Congressional District, where he won reelection in 2024 with over 70% of the vote. Facing Democratic state Rep. Jeffrey Hulum III, a Gulfport Army veteran who won his uncontested primary, traders price GOP victory at 85.5% reflecting the district's strong partisan lean—rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report—and historical base rates for incumbents in safe seats. No polls or major developments have emerged in the past 60 days to shift sentiment ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$23,730Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. Mike Ezell advanced easily from the March 10 GOP primary, defeating challenger Sawyer Walters to secure renomination in solidly Republican Mississippi's 4th Congressional District, where he won reelection in 2024 with over 70% of the vote. Facing Democratic state Rep. Jeffrey Hulum III, a Gulfport Army veteran who won his uncontested primary, traders price GOP victory at 85.5% reflecting the district's strong partisan lean—rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report—and historical base rates for incumbents in safe seats. No polls or major developments have emerged in the past 60 days to shift sentiment ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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