Incumbent Giorgia Meloni holds the leading trader consensus at 42.5 percent, reflecting her center-right coalition's delivery of political stability since 2022, the second-longest postwar tenure. The March 2026 referendum defeat on judicial reforms, widely interpreted as a de facto confidence vote amid low turnout and opposition mobilization, has nevertheless created openings for challengers ahead of general elections due by December 2027 under proportional representation that favors coalitions. Genoa Mayor Silvia Salis, elected in 2025 as a center-left unaffiliated candidate and former Olympic athlete, has risen to 17.8 percent on perceptions of her as a fresh unifying figure, closely followed by Democratic Party leader Elly Schlein at 16.5 percent. Ongoing pressures from energy costs, migration adjustments, and foreign-policy frictions continue to shape positioning among remaining candidates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtGiorgia Meloni 43%
Silvia Salis 18.6%
Elly Schlein 17%
Angelo Bonelli 11.2%
$14,540 KL.
$14,540 KL.
Giorgia Meloni
43%
Elly Schlein
17%
Giuseppe Conte
9%
Antonio Tajani
3%
Matteo Salvini
3%
Guido Crosetto
2%
Mario Draghi
5%
Silvia Salis
19%
Roberto Vannacci
9%
Matteo Renzi
3%
Angelo Bonelli
11%
Carlo Calenda
1%
Giorgia Meloni 43%
Silvia Salis 18.6%
Elly Schlein 17%
Angelo Bonelli 11.2%
$14,540 KL.
$14,540 KL.
Giorgia Meloni
43%
Elly Schlein
17%
Giuseppe Conte
9%
Antonio Tajani
3%
Matteo Salvini
3%
Guido Crosetto
2%
Mario Draghi
5%
Silvia Salis
19%
Roberto Vannacci
9%
Matteo Renzi
3%
Angelo Bonelli
11%
Carlo Calenda
1%
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Apr 21, 2026, 3:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Giorgia Meloni holds the leading trader consensus at 42.5 percent, reflecting her center-right coalition's delivery of political stability since 2022, the second-longest postwar tenure. The March 2026 referendum defeat on judicial reforms, widely interpreted as a de facto confidence vote amid low turnout and opposition mobilization, has nevertheless created openings for challengers ahead of general elections due by December 2027 under proportional representation that favors coalitions. Genoa Mayor Silvia Salis, elected in 2025 as a center-left unaffiliated candidate and former Olympic athlete, has risen to 17.8 percent on perceptions of her as a fresh unifying figure, closely followed by Democratic Party leader Elly Schlein at 16.5 percent. Ongoing pressures from energy costs, migration adjustments, and foreign-policy frictions continue to shape positioning among remaining candidates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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