The strong Democratic tilt of New Jersey's 11th District, reinforced by voter registration advantages and consistent past performance, anchors the current market positioning. Democrat Analilia Mejia secured the seat in the April 2026 special election with roughly 62 percent of the vote after Mikie Sherrill's resignation to become governor, establishing her as the early favorite for the November 2026 general election. Historical results show double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, limiting Republican pathways despite any national headwinds. A significant shift in turnout patterns, an unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican wave could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability events based on the district's structural makeup.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNJ-11 House Election Winner
NJ-11 House Election Winner
$14,255 KL.
$14,255 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
9%
$14,255 KL.
$14,255 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$12,046 KL.
93%
Republican Party
$2,209 KL.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic tilt of New Jersey's 11th District, reinforced by voter registration advantages and consistent past performance, anchors the current market positioning. Democrat Analilia Mejia secured the seat in the April 2026 special election with roughly 62 percent of the vote after Mikie Sherrill's resignation to become governor, establishing her as the early favorite for the November 2026 general election. Historical results show double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, limiting Republican pathways despite any national headwinds. A significant shift in turnout patterns, an unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican wave could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability events based on the district's structural makeup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$14,255Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic tilt of New Jersey's 11th District, reinforced by voter registration advantages and consistent past performance, anchors the current market positioning. Democrat Analilia Mejia secured the seat in the April 2026 special election with roughly 62 percent of the vote after Mikie Sherrill's resignation to become governor, establishing her as the early favorite for the November 2026 general election. Historical results show double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, limiting Republican pathways despite any national headwinds. A significant shift in turnout patterns, an unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican wave could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability events based on the district's structural makeup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$14,255Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic tilt of New Jersey's 11th District, reinforced by voter registration advantages and consistent past performance, anchors the current market positioning. Democrat Analilia Mejia secured the seat in the April 2026 special election with roughly 62 percent of the vote after Mikie Sherrill's resignation to become governor, establishing her as the early favorite for the November 2026 general election. Historical results show double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, limiting Republican pathways despite any national headwinds. A significant shift in turnout patterns, an unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican wave could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability events based on the district's structural makeup.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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