Trader odds favoring "Nothing" at 60.5% reflect consensus that none of the specified triggers occurred by March 31, 2026, with the market now hinging on the Texas U.S. Senate GOP primary runoff on May 26 between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and challenger Attorney General Ken Paxton—James Talarico having secured the Democratic nomination in the March 3 primary. A May 5 University of Houston Hobby School poll shows Paxton leading narrowly 48%-45% among likely GOP voters within the margin of error, bolstered by intensifying grassroots support as early voting begins May 18. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75% after its March 17-18 meeting; the SAVE Act passed the House but stalled in the Senate; President Trump issued no election interference national emergency or Insurrection Act invocation; and Iran's regime endured U.S.-Israeli strikes without collapsing. The closely contested runoff introduces uncertainty to final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNothing
$340,213 KL.
$340,213 KL.
Mar 31, 2026
Nothing
$340,213 KL.
$340,213 KL.
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader odds favoring "Nothing" at 60.5% reflect consensus that none of the specified triggers occurred by March 31, 2026, with the market now hinging on the Texas U.S. Senate GOP primary runoff on May 26 between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and challenger Attorney General Ken Paxton—James Talarico having secured the Democratic nomination in the March 3 primary. A May 5 University of Houston Hobby School poll shows Paxton leading narrowly 48%-45% among likely GOP voters within the margin of error, bolstered by intensifying grassroots support as early voting begins May 18. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75% after its March 17-18 meeting; the SAVE Act passed the House but stalled in the Senate; President Trump issued no election interference national emergency or Insurrection Act invocation; and Iran's regime endured U.S.-Israeli strikes without collapsing. The closely contested runoff introduces uncertainty to final resolution.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Thị trường mở: Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
Khối lượng
$340,213Ngày kết thúc
Mar 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader odds favoring "Nothing" at 60.5% reflect consensus that none of the specified triggers occurred by March 31, 2026, with the market now hinging on the Texas U.S. Senate GOP primary runoff on May 26 between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and challenger Attorney General Ken Paxton—James Talarico having secured the Democratic nomination in the March 3 primary. A May 5 University of Houston Hobby School poll shows Paxton leading narrowly 48%-45% among likely GOP voters within the margin of error, bolstered by intensifying grassroots support as early voting begins May 18. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75% after its March 17-18 meeting; the SAVE Act passed the House but stalled in the Senate; President Trump issued no election interference national emergency or Insurrection Act invocation; and Iran's regime endured U.S.-Israeli strikes without collapsing. The closely contested runoff introduces uncertainty to final resolution.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Khối lượng
$340,213Ngày kết thúc
Mar 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader odds favoring "Nothing" at 60.5% reflect consensus that none of the specified triggers occurred by March 31, 2026, with the market now hinging on the Texas U.S. Senate GOP primary runoff on May 26 between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and challenger Attorney General Ken Paxton—James Talarico having secured the Democratic nomination in the March 3 primary. A May 5 University of Houston Hobby School poll shows Paxton leading narrowly 48%-45% among likely GOP voters within the margin of error, bolstered by intensifying grassroots support as early voting begins May 18. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75% after its March 17-18 meeting; the SAVE Act passed the House but stalled in the Senate; President Trump issued no election interference national emergency or Insurrection Act invocation; and Iran's regime endured U.S.-Israeli strikes without collapsing. The closely contested runoff introduces uncertainty to final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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