Laura Gillen, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, holds a commanding position in New York’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election. Her unopposed Democratic primary and the district’s recent performance in a suburban Nassau County seat have solidified trader expectations. Republican nominee Jeanine Driscoll secured her party’s nomination decisively in the June primary but faces structural headwinds typical of the current cycle in this Long Island district. Prediction markets reflect broad consensus around these fundamentals, with limited late-cycle developments altering the balance between the two major-party candidates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-04 House Election Winner
NY-04 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
88%
Republican Party
14%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,003 KL.
88%
Republican Party
$1,092 KL.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Laura Gillen, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, holds a commanding position in New York’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election. Her unopposed Democratic primary and the district’s recent performance in a suburban Nassau County seat have solidified trader expectations. Republican nominee Jeanine Driscoll secured her party’s nomination decisively in the June primary but faces structural headwinds typical of the current cycle in this Long Island district. Prediction markets reflect broad consensus around these fundamentals, with limited late-cycle developments altering the balance between the two major-party candidates.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Khối lượng
$3,095Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Laura Gillen, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, holds a commanding position in New York’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election. Her unopposed Democratic primary and the district’s recent performance in a suburban Nassau County seat have solidified trader expectations. Republican nominee Jeanine Driscoll secured her party’s nomination decisively in the June primary but faces structural headwinds typical of the current cycle in this Long Island district. Prediction markets reflect broad consensus around these fundamentals, with limited late-cycle developments altering the balance between the two major-party candidates.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$3,095Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Laura Gillen, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, holds a commanding position in New York’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election. Her unopposed Democratic primary and the district’s recent performance in a suburban Nassau County seat have solidified trader expectations. Republican nominee Jeanine Driscoll secured her party’s nomination decisively in the June primary but faces structural headwinds typical of the current cycle in this Long Island district. Prediction markets reflect broad consensus around these fundamentals, with limited late-cycle developments altering the balance between the two major-party candidates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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