Incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur holds a clear edge in trader sentiment for the Ohio 9th congressional seat due to her decades-long tenure since 1983 and consistent local support in northwest Ohio. The May 5 primaries confirmed a rematch with Republican Derek Merrin, who won his nomination after narrowly losing to Kaptur by under 2,400 votes in 2024. Mid-decade redistricting shifted the district several points toward Republicans, creating a more competitive environment reflected in toss-up or lean-Republican ratings from outlets like Cook and Inside Elections. Kaptur's substantial fundraising lead, exceeding $3 million compared to Merrin's under $800,000, along with her incumbency advantages in turnout and name recognition, sustains the current implied probability favoring Democrats ahead of the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOH-09 House Election Winner
OH-09 House Election Winner
$19,911 KL.
$19,911 KL.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
68%
Republican Party
28%
$19,911 KL.
$19,911 KL.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$169 KL.
68%
Republican Party
$19,742 KL.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur holds a clear edge in trader sentiment for the Ohio 9th congressional seat due to her decades-long tenure since 1983 and consistent local support in northwest Ohio. The May 5 primaries confirmed a rematch with Republican Derek Merrin, who won his nomination after narrowly losing to Kaptur by under 2,400 votes in 2024. Mid-decade redistricting shifted the district several points toward Republicans, creating a more competitive environment reflected in toss-up or lean-Republican ratings from outlets like Cook and Inside Elections. Kaptur's substantial fundraising lead, exceeding $3 million compared to Merrin's under $800,000, along with her incumbency advantages in turnout and name recognition, sustains the current implied probability favoring Democrats ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Khối lượng
$19,911Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur holds a clear edge in trader sentiment for the Ohio 9th congressional seat due to her decades-long tenure since 1983 and consistent local support in northwest Ohio. The May 5 primaries confirmed a rematch with Republican Derek Merrin, who won his nomination after narrowly losing to Kaptur by under 2,400 votes in 2024. Mid-decade redistricting shifted the district several points toward Republicans, creating a more competitive environment reflected in toss-up or lean-Republican ratings from outlets like Cook and Inside Elections. Kaptur's substantial fundraising lead, exceeding $3 million compared to Merrin's under $800,000, along with her incumbency advantages in turnout and name recognition, sustains the current implied probability favoring Democrats ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$19,911Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur holds a clear edge in trader sentiment for the Ohio 9th congressional seat due to her decades-long tenure since 1983 and consistent local support in northwest Ohio. The May 5 primaries confirmed a rematch with Republican Derek Merrin, who won his nomination after narrowly losing to Kaptur by under 2,400 votes in 2024. Mid-decade redistricting shifted the district several points toward Republicans, creating a more competitive environment reflected in toss-up or lean-Republican ratings from outlets like Cook and Inside Elections. Kaptur's substantial fundraising lead, exceeding $3 million compared to Merrin's under $800,000, along with her incumbency advantages in turnout and name recognition, sustains the current implied probability favoring Democrats ahead of the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp