The competitive dynamics in Pennsylvania’s 1st congressional district keep the House race tight, with traders pricing Republican incumbent Brian Fitzpatrick narrowly ahead of Democrat Bob Harvie at 53.5% to 47.5%. The Bucks County-based seat carries a D+1 partisan voter index and delivered narrow presidential margins, rewarding Fitzpatrick’s moderate profile and crossover appeal while giving Harvie, a county commissioner who won the Democratic primary, a viable path through strong local turnout. Recent polling shows a single-digit gap consistent with the market’s implied probability, and no major late-breaking developments have shifted the balance ahead of the November 3 general election. Factors such as national midterm conditions, candidate fundraising, and voter mobilization in suburban precincts could widen or close the margin before ballots are cast.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPA-01 House Election Winner
PA-01 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
54%
Democratic Party
48%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$3,810 KL.
54%
Democratic Party
$2,486 KL.
48%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The competitive dynamics in Pennsylvania’s 1st congressional district keep the House race tight, with traders pricing Republican incumbent Brian Fitzpatrick narrowly ahead of Democrat Bob Harvie at 53.5% to 47.5%. The Bucks County-based seat carries a D+1 partisan voter index and delivered narrow presidential margins, rewarding Fitzpatrick’s moderate profile and crossover appeal while giving Harvie, a county commissioner who won the Democratic primary, a viable path through strong local turnout. Recent polling shows a single-digit gap consistent with the market’s implied probability, and no major late-breaking developments have shifted the balance ahead of the November 3 general election. Factors such as national midterm conditions, candidate fundraising, and voter mobilization in suburban precincts could widen or close the margin before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Khối lượng
$6,296Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The competitive dynamics in Pennsylvania’s 1st congressional district keep the House race tight, with traders pricing Republican incumbent Brian Fitzpatrick narrowly ahead of Democrat Bob Harvie at 53.5% to 47.5%. The Bucks County-based seat carries a D+1 partisan voter index and delivered narrow presidential margins, rewarding Fitzpatrick’s moderate profile and crossover appeal while giving Harvie, a county commissioner who won the Democratic primary, a viable path through strong local turnout. Recent polling shows a single-digit gap consistent with the market’s implied probability, and no major late-breaking developments have shifted the balance ahead of the November 3 general election. Factors such as national midterm conditions, candidate fundraising, and voter mobilization in suburban precincts could widen or close the margin before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$6,296Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...The competitive dynamics in Pennsylvania’s 1st congressional district keep the House race tight, with traders pricing Republican incumbent Brian Fitzpatrick narrowly ahead of Democrat Bob Harvie at 53.5% to 47.5%. The Bucks County-based seat carries a D+1 partisan voter index and delivered narrow presidential margins, rewarding Fitzpatrick’s moderate profile and crossover appeal while giving Harvie, a county commissioner who won the Democratic primary, a viable path through strong local turnout. Recent polling shows a single-digit gap consistent with the market’s implied probability, and no major late-breaking developments have shifted the balance ahead of the November 3 general election. Factors such as national midterm conditions, candidate fundraising, and voter mobilization in suburban precincts could widen or close the margin before ballots are cast.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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