Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, encompassing core Philadelphia areas with overwhelming Democratic voter registration and past margins exceeding 80 points for Biden in 2020, drives trader consensus to price the Democratic Party at 93.5% to win the November 3 general election. Incumbent Rep. Dwight Evans's retirement created an open seat, fueling a competitive Democratic primary on May 19 between frontrunner Sharif Street and challenger Chris Rabb amid high spending and endorsements, while the Republican primary features limited contenders unlikely to mount a viable challenge. This commanding position reflects the district's solid Democratic lean per Cook Political ratings and historical safe-seat base rates. Realistic shifts would require a post-primary scandal derailing the Democratic nominee, abnormally low Democratic turnout, or an extraordinary national Republican midterm wave.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPA-03 House Election Winner
PA-03 House Election Winner
$13,793 KL.
$13,793 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$13,793 KL.
$13,793 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$7,891 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$5,902 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, encompassing core Philadelphia areas with overwhelming Democratic voter registration and past margins exceeding 80 points for Biden in 2020, drives trader consensus to price the Democratic Party at 93.5% to win the November 3 general election. Incumbent Rep. Dwight Evans's retirement created an open seat, fueling a competitive Democratic primary on May 19 between frontrunner Sharif Street and challenger Chris Rabb amid high spending and endorsements, while the Republican primary features limited contenders unlikely to mount a viable challenge. This commanding position reflects the district's solid Democratic lean per Cook Political ratings and historical safe-seat base rates. Realistic shifts would require a post-primary scandal derailing the Democratic nominee, abnormally low Democratic turnout, or an extraordinary national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$13,793Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, encompassing core Philadelphia areas with overwhelming Democratic voter registration and past margins exceeding 80 points for Biden in 2020, drives trader consensus to price the Democratic Party at 93.5% to win the November 3 general election. Incumbent Rep. Dwight Evans's retirement created an open seat, fueling a competitive Democratic primary on May 19 between frontrunner Sharif Street and challenger Chris Rabb amid high spending and endorsements, while the Republican primary features limited contenders unlikely to mount a viable challenge. This commanding position reflects the district's solid Democratic lean per Cook Political ratings and historical safe-seat base rates. Realistic shifts would require a post-primary scandal derailing the Democratic nominee, abnormally low Democratic turnout, or an extraordinary national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$13,793Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, encompassing core Philadelphia areas with overwhelming Democratic voter registration and past margins exceeding 80 points for Biden in 2020, drives trader consensus to price the Democratic Party at 93.5% to win the November 3 general election. Incumbent Rep. Dwight Evans's retirement created an open seat, fueling a competitive Democratic primary on May 19 between frontrunner Sharif Street and challenger Chris Rabb amid high spending and endorsements, while the Republican primary features limited contenders unlikely to mount a viable challenge. This commanding position reflects the district's solid Democratic lean per Cook Political ratings and historical safe-seat base rates. Realistic shifts would require a post-primary scandal derailing the Democratic nominee, abnormally low Democratic turnout, or an extraordinary national Republican midterm wave.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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