In Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District, a toss-up race per the Cook Political Report—recently shifted from Lean Republican—trader sentiment slightly favors Democrat Paige Cognetti at 57% implied probability over incumbent Republican Rep. Rob Bresnahan, driven by her strong April fundraising haul that topped all Pennsylvania congressional candidates and matched his cash-on-hand. This competitive northeastern Pennsylvania battleground, with a slim R+0.6 partisan baseline, features unopposed primaries tomorrow (May 19), setting up a head-to-head general election on November 3 amid midterm control fights. Bresnahan's stock trading disclosures have fueled Democratic attacks, while Cognetti's Scranton mayoral profile appeals to local voters; separation could come from debate performances, fresh polls, national spending, or endorsements in this closely contested swing district.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPA-08 House Election Winner
PA-08 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
61%
Republican Party
44%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$515 KL.
61%
Republican Party
$284 KL.
44%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District, a toss-up race per the Cook Political Report—recently shifted from Lean Republican—trader sentiment slightly favors Democrat Paige Cognetti at 57% implied probability over incumbent Republican Rep. Rob Bresnahan, driven by her strong April fundraising haul that topped all Pennsylvania congressional candidates and matched his cash-on-hand. This competitive northeastern Pennsylvania battleground, with a slim R+0.6 partisan baseline, features unopposed primaries tomorrow (May 19), setting up a head-to-head general election on November 3 amid midterm control fights. Bresnahan's stock trading disclosures have fueled Democratic attacks, while Cognetti's Scranton mayoral profile appeals to local voters; separation could come from debate performances, fresh polls, national spending, or endorsements in this closely contested swing district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Khối lượng
$799Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District, a toss-up race per the Cook Political Report—recently shifted from Lean Republican—trader sentiment slightly favors Democrat Paige Cognetti at 57% implied probability over incumbent Republican Rep. Rob Bresnahan, driven by her strong April fundraising haul that topped all Pennsylvania congressional candidates and matched his cash-on-hand. This competitive northeastern Pennsylvania battleground, with a slim R+0.6 partisan baseline, features unopposed primaries tomorrow (May 19), setting up a head-to-head general election on November 3 amid midterm control fights. Bresnahan's stock trading disclosures have fueled Democratic attacks, while Cognetti's Scranton mayoral profile appeals to local voters; separation could come from debate performances, fresh polls, national spending, or endorsements in this closely contested swing district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$799Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District, a toss-up race per the Cook Political Report—recently shifted from Lean Republican—trader sentiment slightly favors Democrat Paige Cognetti at 57% implied probability over incumbent Republican Rep. Rob Bresnahan, driven by her strong April fundraising haul that topped all Pennsylvania congressional candidates and matched his cash-on-hand. This competitive northeastern Pennsylvania battleground, with a slim R+0.6 partisan baseline, features unopposed primaries tomorrow (May 19), setting up a head-to-head general election on November 3 amid midterm control fights. Bresnahan's stock trading disclosures have fueled Democratic attacks, while Cognetti's Scranton mayoral profile appeals to local voters; separation could come from debate performances, fresh polls, national spending, or endorsements in this closely contested swing district.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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