United Russia's entrenched institutional advantages in Russia's mixed electoral system, including single-member districts and administrative resources, underpin its overwhelming market lead for the September 2026 State Duma elections. Recent preparations include leadership restructuring, a party list headed by Dmitry Medvedev that highlights veterans of the special military operation, and emphasis on managed stability amid regional economic pressures. Systemic opposition parties such as the CPRF, LDPR, and New People remain fragmented and constrained by the 5% threshold and limited independent campaigning space. While major economic shocks or security incidents could narrow margins, the combination of incumbency, voter mobilization strategies, and electoral mechanics makes a shift in the leading outcome highly improbable before voting concludes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNước Nga Thống Nhất (ER) 96.0%
Những Người Mới (NL) 2.3%
Đảng Cộng sản Liên bang Nga (KPRF) 1.0%
Đảng Dân chủ Tự do Nga (LDPR) <1%
$1,353,693 KL.
$1,353,693 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
Nước Nga Thống Nhất (ER)
96%
Những Người Mới (NL)
2%
Đảng Cộng sản Liên bang Nga (KPRF)
1%
Đảng Dân chủ Tự do Nga (LDPR)
<1%
Nước Nga Công Bằng – Vì Sự Thật (SRZP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Nền tảng Công dân (GP)
<1%
Nước Nga Thống Nhất (ER) 96.0%
Những Người Mới (NL) 2.3%
Đảng Cộng sản Liên bang Nga (KPRF) 1.0%
Đảng Dân chủ Tự do Nga (LDPR) <1%
$1,353,693 KL.
$1,353,693 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
Nước Nga Thống Nhất (ER)
$522,508 KL.
96%
Những Người Mới (NL)
$80,975 KL.
2%
Đảng Cộng sản Liên bang Nga (KPRF)
$104,887 KL.
1%
Đảng Dân chủ Tự do Nga (LDPR)
$79,727 KL.
<1%
Nước Nga Công Bằng – Vì Sự Thật (SRZP)
$229,562 KL.
<1%
Rodina
$222,757 KL.
<1%
Nền tảng Công dân (GP)
$113,277 KL.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia's entrenched institutional advantages in Russia's mixed electoral system, including single-member districts and administrative resources, underpin its overwhelming market lead for the September 2026 State Duma elections. Recent preparations include leadership restructuring, a party list headed by Dmitry Medvedev that highlights veterans of the special military operation, and emphasis on managed stability amid regional economic pressures. Systemic opposition parties such as the CPRF, LDPR, and New People remain fragmented and constrained by the 5% threshold and limited independent campaigning space. While major economic shocks or security incidents could narrow margins, the combination of incumbency, voter mobilization strategies, and electoral mechanics makes a shift in the leading outcome highly improbable before voting concludes.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Thị trường mở: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,353,693Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia's entrenched institutional advantages in Russia's mixed electoral system, including single-member districts and administrative resources, underpin its overwhelming market lead for the September 2026 State Duma elections. Recent preparations include leadership restructuring, a party list headed by Dmitry Medvedev that highlights veterans of the special military operation, and emphasis on managed stability amid regional economic pressures. Systemic opposition parties such as the CPRF, LDPR, and New People remain fragmented and constrained by the 5% threshold and limited independent campaigning space. While major economic shocks or security incidents could narrow margins, the combination of incumbency, voter mobilization strategies, and electoral mechanics makes a shift in the leading outcome highly improbable before voting concludes.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Khối lượng
$1,353,693Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia's entrenched institutional advantages in Russia's mixed electoral system, including single-member districts and administrative resources, underpin its overwhelming market lead for the September 2026 State Duma elections. Recent preparations include leadership restructuring, a party list headed by Dmitry Medvedev that highlights veterans of the special military operation, and emphasis on managed stability amid regional economic pressures. Systemic opposition parties such as the CPRF, LDPR, and New People remain fragmented and constrained by the 5% threshold and limited independent campaigning space. While major economic shocks or security incidents could narrow margins, the combination of incumbency, voter mobilization strategies, and electoral mechanics makes a shift in the leading outcome highly improbable before voting concludes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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