**The 93.5% implied probability that H.R. 22 (SAVE Act / SAVE America Act) will not become law in 2026 reflects its repeated House passage without Senate advancement.** Versions cleared the House in April 2025 (220-208) and February 2026 (218-213), yet the measure has remained stalled in the Senate since receipt in 2025. Overcoming a filibuster requires 60 votes; with Republicans holding 53 seats, at least seven Democratic votes are needed, support that has not materialized. Recent 2026 efforts to embed provisions in the NDAA or pursue them via budget reconciliation have likewise failed to secure final passage. Senate procedural rules, the absence of bipartisan consensus, and calendar constraints before year-end keep enactment unlikely absent a major shift in floor dynamics or new legislative vehicle.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật7% khả năng
$190,044 KL.
$190,044 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
7% khả năng
$190,044 KL.
$190,044 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The 93.5% implied probability that H.R. 22 (SAVE Act / SAVE America Act) will not become law in 2026 reflects its repeated House passage without Senate advancement.** Versions cleared the House in April 2025 (220-208) and February 2026 (218-213), yet the measure has remained stalled in the Senate since receipt in 2025.
Overcoming a filibuster requires 60 votes; with Republicans holding 53 seats, at least seven Democratic votes are needed, support that has not materialized. Recent 2026 efforts to embed provisions in the NDAA or pursue them via budget reconciliation have likewise failed to secure final passage.
Senate procedural rules, the absence of bipartisan consensus, and calendar constraints before year-end keep enactment unlikely absent a major shift in floor dynamics or new legislative vehicle.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Khối lượng
$190,044Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The 93.5% implied probability that H.R. 22 (SAVE Act / SAVE America Act) will not become law in 2026 reflects its repeated House passage without Senate advancement.** Versions cleared the House in April 2025 (220-208) and February 2026 (218-213), yet the measure has remained stalled in the Senate since receipt in 2025.
Overcoming a filibuster requires 60 votes; with Republicans holding 53 seats, at least seven Democratic votes are needed, support that has not materialized. Recent 2026 efforts to embed provisions in the NDAA or pursue them via budget reconciliation have likewise failed to secure final passage.
Senate procedural rules, the absence of bipartisan consensus, and calendar constraints before year-end keep enactment unlikely absent a major shift in floor dynamics or new legislative vehicle.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$190,044Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**The 93.5% implied probability that H.R. 22 (SAVE Act / SAVE America Act) will not become law in 2026 reflects its repeated House passage without Senate advancement.** Versions cleared the House in April 2025 (220-208) and February 2026 (218-213), yet the measure has remained stalled in the Senate since receipt in 2025. Overcoming a filibuster requires 60 votes; with Republicans holding 53 seats, at least seven Democratic votes are needed, support that has not materialized. Recent 2026 efforts to embed provisions in the NDAA or pursue them via budget reconciliation have likewise failed to secure final passage. Senate procedural rules, the absence of bipartisan consensus, and calendar constraints before year-end keep enactment unlikely absent a major shift in floor dynamics or new legislative vehicle.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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