Several AI labs remain closely matched in trader sentiment for third place in Text Arena Math by end of November, with DeepSeek holding the highest implied probability at 36.4% amid strong recent benchmark gains in mathematical reasoning. Anthropic follows at 33.5%, reflecting sustained Claude model improvements in step-by-step problem solving, while OpenAI and Nvidia sit near 25.5% on the strength of iterative large language model updates and hardware optimizations. Competitive dynamics hinge on verifiable benchmark scores, model release cadence, and demonstrated capabilities in complex math tasks rather than marketing claims. Key swing factors include upcoming developer conferences, new training runs, and third-party evaluations that could shift positioning before resolution. Traders weigh these against historical patterns of rapid capability jumps across labs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtStepFun 37%
DeepSeek 33.3%
Tencent 29%
OpenAI 26%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 30, 2026
StepFun
37%
DeepSeek
33%
Tencent
29%
OpenAI
26%
Xiaomi
26%
Nvidia
26%
Bytedance
26%
Mistral
26%
Microsoft
26%
Thinky
25%
Anthropic
25%
Moonshot
24%
Meituan
24%
19%
Baidu
14%
SpaceXAI
13%
Z.ai
13%
Meta
13%
Amazon
8%
Alibaba
4%
MiniMax
25%
StepFun 37%
DeepSeek 33.3%
Tencent 29%
OpenAI 26%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 30, 2026
StepFun
$128 KL.
37%
DeepSeek
$33 KL.
33%
Tencent
$33 KL.
29%
OpenAI
$33 KL.
26%
Xiaomi
$33 KL.
26%
Nvidia
$33 KL.
26%
Bytedance
$33 KL.
26%
Mistral
$33 KL.
26%
Microsoft
$33 KL.
26%
Thinky
$33 KL.
25%
Anthropic
$33 KL.
25%
Moonshot
$33 KL.
24%
Meituan
$33 KL.
24%
$33 KL.
19%
Baidu
$33 KL.
14%
SpaceXAI
$33 KL.
13%
Z.ai
$33 KL.
13%
Meta
$33 KL.
13%
Amazon
$54 KL.
8%
Alibaba
$33 KL.
4%
MiniMax
$45 KL.
25%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Several AI labs remain closely matched in trader sentiment for third place in Text Arena Math by end of November, with DeepSeek holding the highest implied probability at 36.4% amid strong recent benchmark gains in mathematical reasoning. Anthropic follows at 33.5%, reflecting sustained Claude model improvements in step-by-step problem solving, while OpenAI and Nvidia sit near 25.5% on the strength of iterative large language model updates and hardware optimizations. Competitive dynamics hinge on verifiable benchmark scores, model release cadence, and demonstrated capabilities in complex math tasks rather than marketing claims. Key swing factors include upcoming developer conferences, new training runs, and third-party evaluations that could shift positioning before resolution. Traders weigh these against historical patterns of rapid capability jumps across labs.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Thị trường mở: Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ET
Khối lượng
$811Ngày kết thúc
Dec 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Several AI labs remain closely matched in trader sentiment for third place in Text Arena Math by end of November, with DeepSeek holding the highest implied probability at 36.4% amid strong recent benchmark gains in mathematical reasoning. Anthropic follows at 33.5%, reflecting sustained Claude model improvements in step-by-step problem solving, while OpenAI and Nvidia sit near 25.5% on the strength of iterative large language model updates and hardware optimizations. Competitive dynamics hinge on verifiable benchmark scores, model release cadence, and demonstrated capabilities in complex math tasks rather than marketing claims. Key swing factors include upcoming developer conferences, new training runs, and third-party evaluations that could shift positioning before resolution. Traders weigh these against historical patterns of rapid capability jumps across labs.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Khối lượng
$811Ngày kết thúc
Dec 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Several AI labs remain closely matched in trader sentiment for third place in Text Arena Math by end of November, with DeepSeek holding the highest implied probability at 36.4% amid strong recent benchmark gains in mathematical reasoning. Anthropic follows at 33.5%, reflecting sustained Claude model improvements in step-by-step problem solving, while OpenAI and Nvidia sit near 25.5% on the strength of iterative large language model updates and hardware optimizations. Competitive dynamics hinge on verifiable benchmark scores, model release cadence, and demonstrated capabilities in complex math tasks rather than marketing claims. Key swing factors include upcoming developer conferences, new training runs, and third-party evaluations that could shift positioning before resolution. Traders weigh these against historical patterns of rapid capability jumps across labs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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