Chinese AI labs like Alibaba and Moonshot hold the highest implied odds for third place on Text Arena’s math subcategory by end-October due to their rapid gains in mathematical reasoning benchmarks, where models such as Kimi variants and Qwen series have posted competitive or leading scores on MATH-500, AIME-style tasks, and Arena’s crowdsourced Elo ratings. US frontrunners including Google, OpenAI, and Anthropic maintain strong positions through frontier-scale training but face pressure from Chinese efficiency advantages and frequent releases that keep leaderboards volatile. The near-even odds across top contenders reflect ongoing model updates, benchmark refreshes, and the fact that math performance often shifts quickly with new post-training techniques or larger context windows. Traders are watching for late-summer or early-fall launches that could reorder the top five before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtThird-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Alibaba 30%
Google 27%
OpenAI 16%
Moonshot 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 31, 2026
Alibaba
30%
27%
OpenAI
16%
Moonshot
10%
Z.ai
7%
Anthropic
7%
Meituan
6%
Nvidia
5%
Baidu
5%
Meta
4%
Mistral
3%
MiniMax
2%
Bytedance
2%
StepFun
1%
Xiaomi
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Tencent
1%
Amazon
1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Alibaba 30%
Google 27%
OpenAI 16%
Moonshot 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 31, 2026
Alibaba
$808 KL.
30%
$2,530 KL.
27%
OpenAI
$334 KL.
16%
Moonshot
$205 KL.
10%
Z.ai
$305 KL.
7%
Anthropic
$195 KL.
7%
Meituan
$590 KL.
6%
Nvidia
$263 KL.
5%
Baidu
$225 KL.
5%
Meta
$199 KL.
4%
Mistral
$284 KL.
3%
MiniMax
$272 KL.
2%
Bytedance
$273 KL.
2%
StepFun
$144 KL.
1%
Xiaomi
$195 KL.
1%
SpaceXAI
$190 KL.
1%
Tencent
$180 KL.
1%
Amazon
$195 KL.
1%
DeepSeek
$180 KL.
<1%
Microsoft
$143 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Chinese AI labs like Alibaba and Moonshot hold the highest implied odds for third place on Text Arena’s math subcategory by end-October due to their rapid gains in mathematical reasoning benchmarks, where models such as Kimi variants and Qwen series have posted competitive or leading scores on MATH-500, AIME-style tasks, and Arena’s crowdsourced Elo ratings. US frontrunners including Google, OpenAI, and Anthropic maintain strong positions through frontier-scale training but face pressure from Chinese efficiency advantages and frequent releases that keep leaderboards volatile. The near-even odds across top contenders reflect ongoing model updates, benchmark refreshes, and the fact that math performance often shifts quickly with new post-training techniques or larger context windows. Traders are watching for late-summer or early-fall launches that could reorder the top five before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ET
Khối lượng
$7,710Ngày kết thúc
Oct 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Chinese AI labs like Alibaba and Moonshot hold the highest implied odds for third place on Text Arena’s math subcategory by end-October due to their rapid gains in mathematical reasoning benchmarks, where models such as Kimi variants and Qwen series have posted competitive or leading scores on MATH-500, AIME-style tasks, and Arena’s crowdsourced Elo ratings. US frontrunners including Google, OpenAI, and Anthropic maintain strong positions through frontier-scale training but face pressure from Chinese efficiency advantages and frequent releases that keep leaderboards volatile. The near-even odds across top contenders reflect ongoing model updates, benchmark refreshes, and the fact that math performance often shifts quickly with new post-training techniques or larger context windows. Traders are watching for late-summer or early-fall launches that could reorder the top five before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Khối lượng
$7,710Ngày kết thúc
Oct 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chinese AI labs like Alibaba and Moonshot hold the highest implied odds for third place on Text Arena’s math subcategory by end-October due to their rapid gains in mathematical reasoning benchmarks, where models such as Kimi variants and Qwen series have posted competitive or leading scores on MATH-500, AIME-style tasks, and Arena’s crowdsourced Elo ratings. US frontrunners including Google, OpenAI, and Anthropic maintain strong positions through frontier-scale training but face pressure from Chinese efficiency advantages and frequent releases that keep leaderboards volatile. The near-even odds across top contenders reflect ongoing model updates, benchmark refreshes, and the fact that math performance often shifts quickly with new post-training techniques or larger context windows. Traders are watching for late-summer or early-fall launches that could reorder the top five before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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