Tennessee's Republican-controlled legislature passed and Governor Bill Lee signed a new congressional map in early May 2026 that reconfigures the Memphis-based 9th District, splitting its majority-Black voting base across multiple lines and producing a projected Republican tilt. This redistricting, following a related Supreme Court ruling on voting rights cases, prompted longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen to withdraw from the race on May 15 while pursuing a legal challenge. A crowded Democratic primary field, including state Rep. Justin Pearson, further fragments opposition ahead of the August 6 vote. Republican candidates such as state Sen. Brent Taylor have quickly consolidated support in the revised boundaries. Trader consensus at 81.5% for a Republican winner reflects these structural shifts, though pending court outcomes could still alter the November 3 general election landscape.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTN-09 House Election Winner
TN-09 House Election Winner
$25,205 KL.
$25,205 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
82%
Democratic Party
15%
$25,205 KL.
$25,205 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$13,038 KL.
82%
Democratic Party
$12,167 KL.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's Republican-controlled legislature passed and Governor Bill Lee signed a new congressional map in early May 2026 that reconfigures the Memphis-based 9th District, splitting its majority-Black voting base across multiple lines and producing a projected Republican tilt. This redistricting, following a related Supreme Court ruling on voting rights cases, prompted longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen to withdraw from the race on May 15 while pursuing a legal challenge. A crowded Democratic primary field, including state Rep. Justin Pearson, further fragments opposition ahead of the August 6 vote. Republican candidates such as state Sen. Brent Taylor have quickly consolidated support in the revised boundaries. Trader consensus at 81.5% for a Republican winner reflects these structural shifts, though pending court outcomes could still alter the November 3 general election landscape.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$25,205Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's Republican-controlled legislature passed and Governor Bill Lee signed a new congressional map in early May 2026 that reconfigures the Memphis-based 9th District, splitting its majority-Black voting base across multiple lines and producing a projected Republican tilt. This redistricting, following a related Supreme Court ruling on voting rights cases, prompted longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen to withdraw from the race on May 15 while pursuing a legal challenge. A crowded Democratic primary field, including state Rep. Justin Pearson, further fragments opposition ahead of the August 6 vote. Republican candidates such as state Sen. Brent Taylor have quickly consolidated support in the revised boundaries. Trader consensus at 81.5% for a Republican winner reflects these structural shifts, though pending court outcomes could still alter the November 3 general election landscape.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$25,205Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's Republican-controlled legislature passed and Governor Bill Lee signed a new congressional map in early May 2026 that reconfigures the Memphis-based 9th District, splitting its majority-Black voting base across multiple lines and producing a projected Republican tilt. This redistricting, following a related Supreme Court ruling on voting rights cases, prompted longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen to withdraw from the race on May 15 while pursuing a legal challenge. A crowded Democratic primary field, including state Rep. Justin Pearson, further fragments opposition ahead of the August 6 vote. Republican candidates such as state Sen. Brent Taylor have quickly consolidated support in the revised boundaries. Trader consensus at 81.5% for a Republican winner reflects these structural shifts, though pending court outcomes could still alter the November 3 general election landscape.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp