Redistricting approved in May 2026 substantially altered Tennessee's 9th congressional district, shifting its Cook Partisan Voting Index to R+9 and aligning it with areas that supported the Republican presidential nominee by double digits in recent cycles. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen opted not to seek reelection in the reconfigured district. Republican state Sen. Brent Taylor secured his party's nomination in the August 6 primary with former President Trump's endorsement and fundraising advantages, while Democratic state Rep. Justin Pearson won his party's contest. These factors have produced trader consensus around a Republican general-election outcome on November 3, though the result remains subject to standard midterm turnout dynamics and any late-cycle developments in the Memphis-to-Nashville suburbs now included in the district.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTN-09 House Election Winner
TN-09 House Election Winner
$33,175 KL.
$33,175 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
84%
Democratic Party
16%
$33,175 KL.
$33,175 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$19,961 KL.
84%
Democratic Party
$13,214 KL.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved in May 2026 substantially altered Tennessee's 9th congressional district, shifting its Cook Partisan Voting Index to R+9 and aligning it with areas that supported the Republican presidential nominee by double digits in recent cycles. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen opted not to seek reelection in the reconfigured district. Republican state Sen. Brent Taylor secured his party's nomination in the August 6 primary with former President Trump's endorsement and fundraising advantages, while Democratic state Rep. Justin Pearson won his party's contest. These factors have produced trader consensus around a Republican general-election outcome on November 3, though the result remains subject to standard midterm turnout dynamics and any late-cycle developments in the Memphis-to-Nashville suburbs now included in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$33,175Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved in May 2026 substantially altered Tennessee's 9th congressional district, shifting its Cook Partisan Voting Index to R+9 and aligning it with areas that supported the Republican presidential nominee by double digits in recent cycles. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen opted not to seek reelection in the reconfigured district. Republican state Sen. Brent Taylor secured his party's nomination in the August 6 primary with former President Trump's endorsement and fundraising advantages, while Democratic state Rep. Justin Pearson won his party's contest. These factors have produced trader consensus around a Republican general-election outcome on November 3, though the result remains subject to standard midterm turnout dynamics and any late-cycle developments in the Memphis-to-Nashville suburbs now included in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$33,175Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting approved in May 2026 substantially altered Tennessee's 9th congressional district, shifting its Cook Partisan Voting Index to R+9 and aligning it with areas that supported the Republican presidential nominee by double digits in recent cycles. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen opted not to seek reelection in the reconfigured district. Republican state Sen. Brent Taylor secured his party's nomination in the August 6 primary with former President Trump's endorsement and fundraising advantages, while Democratic state Rep. Justin Pearson won his party's contest. These factors have produced trader consensus around a Republican general-election outcome on November 3, though the result remains subject to standard midterm turnout dynamics and any late-cycle developments in the Memphis-to-Nashville suburbs now included in the district.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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