Recent polling released on May 14 shows incumbent Toronto Mayor Olivia Chow holding a 13-point lead over city councillor Brad Bradford among decided voters, with support at 50 percent versus 37 percent in the first survey since the nomination period opened on May 1. Bradford formally entered the race on that date for the October 26, 2026, election, positioning him as the clearest challenger while other declared candidates trail far behind. Trader consensus on leading probabilities aligns with this early advantage for the sitting mayor, who has yet to officially declare but faces limited immediate competition. Key factors include voter priorities around housing affordability and traffic, alongside the withdrawal of former mayor John Tory, which has narrowed the field and consolidated support behind the current frontrunner. Upcoming developments such as candidate nominations closing in August and further polling could influence shifts before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOlivia Chow 78%
Brad Bradford 19%
Ana Bailão 2.1%
Kevin Clarke <1%
$30,616 KL.
$30,616 KL.
Olivia Chow
78%
Brad Bradford
19%
Ana Bailão
2%
Kevin Clarke
1%
Marco Mendicino
1%
Anthony Furey
<1%
Michael Ford
<1%
John Tory
<1%
Olivia Chow 78%
Brad Bradford 19%
Ana Bailão 2.1%
Kevin Clarke <1%
$30,616 KL.
$30,616 KL.
Olivia Chow
78%
Brad Bradford
19%
Ana Bailão
2%
Kevin Clarke
1%
Marco Mendicino
1%
Anthony Furey
<1%
Michael Ford
<1%
John Tory
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Thị trường mở: Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling released on May 14 shows incumbent Toronto Mayor Olivia Chow holding a 13-point lead over city councillor Brad Bradford among decided voters, with support at 50 percent versus 37 percent in the first survey since the nomination period opened on May 1. Bradford formally entered the race on that date for the October 26, 2026, election, positioning him as the clearest challenger while other declared candidates trail far behind. Trader consensus on leading probabilities aligns with this early advantage for the sitting mayor, who has yet to officially declare but faces limited immediate competition. Key factors include voter priorities around housing affordability and traffic, alongside the withdrawal of former mayor John Tory, which has narrowed the field and consolidated support behind the current frontrunner. Upcoming developments such as candidate nominations closing in August and further polling could influence shifts before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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