The Democratic Party and Progressive Party’s May 15 agreement to select a single Ulsan mayoral candidate through a public-opinion-poll primary between Kim Sang-wook and Kim Jong-hoon has consolidated the liberal vote ahead of the June 3 local elections. Pre-unification surveys placed the combined liberal support near 47 percent against incumbent Kim Doo-kyum’s 37 percent, tightening the race into a three-way contest that now excludes minor independents such as Park Maeng-woo. Traders assign Kim Sang-wook the highest probability because recent polling trends and the upcoming May 23–24 primary favor his selection as the unified nominee, while Kim Doo-kyum retains strong incumbent recognition in the industrial city. This structural consolidation explains the current market pricing, with remaining uncertainty tied to the primary outcome and final campaign dynamics.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKim Sang-wook 58%
Kim Doo-kyum 41%
Kim Jong-hoon 1.8%
Park Maeng-woo <1%
$42,528 KL.
$42,528 KL.
Kim Sang-wook
58%
Kim Doo-kyum
41%
Kim Jong-hoon
2%
Park Maeng-woo
<1%
Kim Sang-wook 58%
Kim Doo-kyum 41%
Kim Jong-hoon 1.8%
Park Maeng-woo <1%
$42,528 KL.
$42,528 KL.
Kim Sang-wook
58%
Kim Doo-kyum
41%
Kim Jong-hoon
2%
Park Maeng-woo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Thị trường mở: Apr 23, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Democratic Party and Progressive Party’s May 15 agreement to select a single Ulsan mayoral candidate through a public-opinion-poll primary between Kim Sang-wook and Kim Jong-hoon has consolidated the liberal vote ahead of the June 3 local elections. Pre-unification surveys placed the combined liberal support near 47 percent against incumbent Kim Doo-kyum’s 37 percent, tightening the race into a three-way contest that now excludes minor independents such as Park Maeng-woo. Traders assign Kim Sang-wook the highest probability because recent polling trends and the upcoming May 23–24 primary favor his selection as the unified nominee, while Kim Doo-kyum retains strong incumbent recognition in the industrial city. This structural consolidation explains the current market pricing, with remaining uncertainty tied to the primary outcome and final campaign dynamics.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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