Anthropic's recent Claude Opus 5 and related variants lead the arena.ai WebDev leaderboard with top Elo scores around 1692, driven by strong agentic coding performance on multi-step frontend tasks, tool use, and complex debugging that outpaces rivals in blind votes. This positions the company as the market favorite at 56.5% implied probability for end-October 2026 resolution, reflecting trader confidence in sustained Claude advantages for web development workflows. OpenAI's GPT-5.6 series tops some general coding benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified but trails in WebDev-specific arenas, while models from Moonshot (Kimi), DeepSeek, and Meta show competitive frontend results yet lower overall consensus. New releases or capability jumps from any lab before October could rapidly shift rankings, underscoring the tight competitive dynamics in frontier large language models.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAnthropic 56%
SpaceXAI 10%
Meta 8.9%
DeepSeek 8%
$11,031 KL.
$11,031 KL.
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
56%
SpaceXAI
10%
Meta
9%
DeepSeek
8%
OpenAI
6%
5%
Thinky
4%
Moonshot
4%
Alibaba
3%
Xiaomi
3%
Poolside
3%
Tencent
3%
Z.ai
1%
Mistral
1%
ByteDance
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Anthropic 56%
SpaceXAI 10%
Meta 8.9%
DeepSeek 8%
$11,031 KL.
$11,031 KL.
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
$8,726 KL.
56%
SpaceXAI
$298 KL.
10%
Meta
$271 KL.
9%
DeepSeek
$83 KL.
8%
OpenAI
$113 KL.
6%
$115 KL.
5%
Thinky
$169 KL.
4%
Moonshot
$83 KL.
4%
Alibaba
$83 KL.
3%
Xiaomi
$172 KL.
3%
Poolside
$216 KL.
3%
Tencent
$185 KL.
3%
Z.ai
$88 KL.
1%
Mistral
$105 KL.
1%
ByteDance
$170 KL.
<1%
MiniMax
$153 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's recent Claude Opus 5 and related variants lead the arena.ai WebDev leaderboard with top Elo scores around 1692, driven by strong agentic coding performance on multi-step frontend tasks, tool use, and complex debugging that outpaces rivals in blind votes. This positions the company as the market favorite at 56.5% implied probability for end-October 2026 resolution, reflecting trader confidence in sustained Claude advantages for web development workflows. OpenAI's GPT-5.6 series tops some general coding benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified but trails in WebDev-specific arenas, while models from Moonshot (Kimi), DeepSeek, and Meta show competitive frontend results yet lower overall consensus. New releases or capability jumps from any lab before October could rapidly shift rankings, underscoring the tight competitive dynamics in frontier large language models.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$11,031Ngày kết thúc
Oct 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's recent Claude Opus 5 and related variants lead the arena.ai WebDev leaderboard with top Elo scores around 1692, driven by strong agentic coding performance on multi-step frontend tasks, tool use, and complex debugging that outpaces rivals in blind votes. This positions the company as the market favorite at 56.5% implied probability for end-October 2026 resolution, reflecting trader confidence in sustained Claude advantages for web development workflows. OpenAI's GPT-5.6 series tops some general coding benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified but trails in WebDev-specific arenas, while models from Moonshot (Kimi), DeepSeek, and Meta show competitive frontend results yet lower overall consensus. New releases or capability jumps from any lab before October could rapidly shift rankings, underscoring the tight competitive dynamics in frontier large language models.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Khối lượng
$11,031Ngày kết thúc
Oct 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's recent Claude Opus 5 and related variants lead the arena.ai WebDev leaderboard with top Elo scores around 1692, driven by strong agentic coding performance on multi-step frontend tasks, tool use, and complex debugging that outpaces rivals in blind votes. This positions the company as the market favorite at 56.5% implied probability for end-October 2026 resolution, reflecting trader confidence in sustained Claude advantages for web development workflows. OpenAI's GPT-5.6 series tops some general coding benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified but trails in WebDev-specific arenas, while models from Moonshot (Kimi), DeepSeek, and Meta show competitive frontend results yet lower overall consensus. New releases or capability jumps from any lab before October could rapidly shift rankings, underscoring the tight competitive dynamics in frontier large language models.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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