**Amid the ongoing 2026 US-Iran war sparked by US-Israel airstrikes under Operation Epic Fury on February 28 targeting military and nuclear sites, a fragile ceasefire faces collapse.** President Trump stated on May 11 that the truce is on "life support" after rejecting Tehran's counter-proposal as unacceptable, prompting Iranian leaders to affirm readiness for large-scale retaliation on May 12 amid reports of Gulf states' strikes inside Iran. No verified ground incursions or entries by US officials, senators, House members, or figures like Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth have occurred, as Pentagon doctrine prioritizes air and naval actions over terrestrial access. Heightened Strait of Hormuz blockades and failed peace talks could preclude visits before June 30 resolution, reflecting trader consensus on persistent hostilities. (118 words)
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$387,428 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
Any U.S. House member
5%
Any U.S. Senator
3%
Jared Kushner
2%
Marco Rubio
2%
Pete Hegseth
2%
JD Vance
1%
Benjamin Netanyahu
1%
Donald Trump
<1%
$387,428 KL.
Any U.S. House member
$86,764 KL.
5%
Any U.S. Senator
$29,990 KL.
3%
Jared Kushner
$15,604 KL.
2%
Marco Rubio
$21,470 KL.
2%
Pete Hegseth
$92,649 KL.
2%
JD Vance
$30,931 KL.
1%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$42,282 KL.
1%
Donald Trump
$67,738 KL.
<1%
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Amid the ongoing 2026 US-Iran war sparked by US-Israel airstrikes under Operation Epic Fury on February 28 targeting military and nuclear sites, a fragile ceasefire faces collapse.** President Trump stated on May 11 that the truce is on "life support" after rejecting Tehran's counter-proposal as unacceptable, prompting Iranian leaders to affirm readiness for large-scale retaliation on May 12 amid reports of Gulf states' strikes inside Iran. No verified ground incursions or entries by US officials, senators, House members, or figures like Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth have occurred, as Pentagon doctrine prioritizes air and naval actions over terrestrial access. Heightened Strait of Hormuz blockades and failed peace talks could preclude visits before June 30 resolution, reflecting trader consensus on persistent hostilities. (118 words)
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Mar 1, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
Khối lượng
$387,428Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 1, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Amid the ongoing 2026 US-Iran war sparked by US-Israel airstrikes under Operation Epic Fury on February 28 targeting military and nuclear sites, a fragile ceasefire faces collapse.** President Trump stated on May 11 that the truce is on "life support" after rejecting Tehran's counter-proposal as unacceptable, prompting Iranian leaders to affirm readiness for large-scale retaliation on May 12 amid reports of Gulf states' strikes inside Iran. No verified ground incursions or entries by US officials, senators, House members, or figures like Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth have occurred, as Pentagon doctrine prioritizes air and naval actions over terrestrial access. Heightened Strait of Hormuz blockades and failed peace talks could preclude visits before June 30 resolution, reflecting trader consensus on persistent hostilities. (118 words)
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$387,428Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 1, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Amid the ongoing 2026 US-Iran war sparked by US-Israel airstrikes under Operation Epic Fury on February 28 targeting military and nuclear sites, a fragile ceasefire faces collapse.** President Trump stated on May 11 that the truce is on "life support" after rejecting Tehran's counter-proposal as unacceptable, prompting Iranian leaders to affirm readiness for large-scale retaliation on May 12 amid reports of Gulf states' strikes inside Iran. No verified ground incursions or entries by US officials, senators, House members, or figures like Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth have occurred, as Pentagon doctrine prioritizes air and naval actions over terrestrial access. Heightened Strait of Hormuz blockades and failed peace talks could preclude visits before June 30 resolution, reflecting trader consensus on persistent hostilities. (118 words)
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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